TT Lossbeater/WTT Star Contender Astana
Flavien Coton vs Iulian Chirita 3-1 · WTT Star Contender Astana
WTT Star Contender Astana
Played Sep 18Finished
Flavien Coton
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119119811119––
Iulian Chirita
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:59 and never touched — 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timeFlavien Coton to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFlavien Coton above · Iulian Chirita below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 79 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Flavien Coton at 64.5%
79 points played in total.
H2H Flavien Coton 1–0 Iulian Chirita Iulian Chirita has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:59What took a side1 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Coton
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Coton 20% vs Chirita 80%
Chirita
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Coton 30% vs Chirita 80%
Chirita
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Coton -2 · Chirita +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Coton)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chirita form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCoton 1.44 / Chirita 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 36%
Edge (Coton)-0.0pp
WTT Star Contender Astana · #13148089
Coton1.44
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 8 days ago (Sep 10) · back after a break
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Chirita2.63
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
78%takes the first set · 7 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeCoton1wins
AwayChirita0wins
Coton leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricCotonChiritaCoton − ChiritaBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match41.038.0+3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCotonChiritaBasisWin rate · lifetime3 / 10 vs 7 / 1030%70%3 / 10 vs 7 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.52.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CotonCoton 1.44/Chirita 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.5%
Coton · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Coton won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 18 · 06:35F. Coton4111118113I. Chirita38991191
F. Coton10
LSep 19 · 14:35F. Coton1.6791070T. Li2.101112113WSep 19 · 06:45F. Coton1.441111113O. Assar2.639590LSep 10 · 11:40F. Coton2.285470A. Kallberg1.531111113LSep 10 · 10:30F. Coton2.385470A. Kallberg1.531111113WSep 8 · 11:40Y. Lin1.1311911762F. Coton5.50511911113LAug 10 · 11:10F. Coton1.447990G. Park2.631111113LAug 4 · 02:00F. Coton4.504750F. Lebrun1.171111113LJun 28 · 19:35M. Thakkar4.501210117113F. Coton1.17101271172LJun 4 · 17:50Q. Aruna5.50113911123F. Coton1.13511117102LMay 9 · 18:50C. Wang1.061511911113F. Coton8.00131311482
I. Chirita10
WSep 17 · 13:45I. Gunduz4.337111041I. Chirita1.2011912113LAug 10 · 18:20E. Ranefur2.001114113I. Chirita1.7331280WAug 9 · 16:10I. Chirita1.8511115153V. Ursu1.854811131WAug 9 · 10:20M. Freitas1.987960I. Chirita1.681111113WAug 9 · 08:35M. Freitas2.107960I. Chirita1.671111113LJun 29 · 01:00J. Geraldo2.009111011123I. Chirita1.73119124102WJun 28 · 01:40I. Chirita1.56711511113D. Kozul2.2311611582WJun 27 · 17:00A. Robles1.731012121172I. Chirita2.001210148113WJun 26 · 19:55C. Nuytinck2.3876111142I. Chirita1.53111169113LJun 4 · 11:55I. Chirita2.38119771G. Park1.5341111113
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