TT Lossbeater/WTT Star Contender Astana Quals
WTT Star Contender Astana QualsMatch #13141773
Played Sep 17Finished
Ibrahim Gunduz
Home
4.33
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7111191012411––
Iulian Chirita
Away
1.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:25 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeIbrahim Gunduz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingIbrahim Gunduz above · Iulian Chirita below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 75 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Ibrahim Gunduz at 54.0%
75 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:25What took a side0 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (78%)
Chirita
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Gunduz 80% vs Chirita 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gunduz 80% vs Chirita 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Gunduz +2 · Chirita -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Chirita) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gunduz form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (23%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGunduz 4.33 / Chirita 1.20
Signal prob.22% / 78%
Edge (Chirita)-0.0pp
WTT Star Contender Astana Quals · #13141773
Gunduz4.33
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Chirita1.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
78%takes the first set · 7 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricGunduzChiritaBasisWin rate · lifetime8 / 10 vs 7 / 1080%70%8 / 10 vs 7 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.52.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChiritaGunduz 4.33/Chirita 1.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
78.3%
Chirita · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Chirita won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
I. Gunduz10
WSep 16 · 12:35I. Gunduz1.7311115163Y. MA2.009911141WSep 16 · 06:35I. Gunduz1.051111113E. Gubran8.509760LSep 9 · 16:40I. Gunduz3.753450F. Bourrassaud1.251111113WSep 9 · 09:30M. Mutti1.50111113642I. Gunduz2.50631511113WSep 8 · 12:50I. Gunduz1.83911115113D. Pinto1.8311291182LMay 12 · 08:00C. Meissner1.3615411113I. Gunduz3.001311251WApr 30 · 20:00I. Gunduz2.637151111113Y. Abdel-Aziz1.4411179652WApr 30 · 18:29I. Gunduz1.7512117113O. Assar1.951071141WApr 30 · 02:00S. Tancharoen6.00481141I. Gunduz1.0811119113WApr 29 · 20:17P. Sanguansin4.33114681I. Gunduz1.2081111113
I. Chirita10
LAug 10 · 18:20E. Ranefur2.001114113I. Chirita1.7331280WAug 9 · 16:10I. Chirita1.8511115153V. Ursu1.854811131WAug 9 · 10:20M. Freitas1.987960I. Chirita1.681111113WAug 9 · 08:35M. Freitas2.107960I. Chirita1.671111113LJun 29 · 01:00J. Geraldo2.009111011123I. Chirita1.73119124102WJun 28 · 01:40I. Chirita1.56711511113D. Kozul2.2311611582WJun 27 · 17:00A. Robles1.731012121172I. Chirita2.001210148113WJun 26 · 19:55C. Nuytinck2.3876111142I. Chirita1.53111169113LJun 4 · 11:55I. Chirita2.38119771G. Park1.5341111113WJun 3 · 15:35I. Chirita1.401111113L. Devos2.758650
Upcoming Matches
I. Gunduz
Nothing scheduled
I. Chirita
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