TT Lossbeater/WTT Star Contender Astana Quals
WTT Star Contender Astana QualsMatch #13135025
Played Sep 16Finished
Ibrahim Gunduz
Home
1.05
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119117116––––
Ebrahim Gubran
Away
8.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:16 and never touched — 66.9% is still 66.9%
Graded at full timeIbrahim Gunduz to win
66.9%
66.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIbrahim Gunduz above · Ebrahim Gubran below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 55 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Ibrahim Gunduz at 66.9%
55 points played in total.
H2H Ibrahim Gunduz 1–0 Ebrahim Gubran Ebrahim Gubran has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:16What took a side3 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.05 (89%)
Gunduz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Gunduz 60% vs Gubran 20%
Gunduz
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gunduz 60% vs Gubran 10%
Gunduz
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gunduz -1 · Gubran -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 89% — Strong (leans Gunduz) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gunduz form (60%) is below what odds imply (95%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGunduz 1.05 / Gubran 8.50
Signal prob.89% / 11%
Edge (Gunduz)-0.0pp
WTT Star Contender Astana Quals · #13135025
Gunduz1.05
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Gubran8.50
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
17%takes the first set · 1 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeGunduz1wins
AwayGubran0wins
Gunduz leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricGunduzGubranGunduz − GubranBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.022.0+11.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGunduzGubranBasisWin rate · lifetime6 / 10 vs 1 / 1060%10%6 / 10 vs 1 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.00.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GunduzGunduz 1.05/Gubran 8.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
89%
Gunduz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Gunduz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 16 · 06:35I. Gunduz331111113E. Gubran229760
I. Gunduz10
LSep 17 · 13:45I. Gunduz4.337111041I. Chirita1.2011912113WSep 16 · 12:35I. Gunduz1.7311115163Y. MA2.009911141LSep 9 · 16:40I. Gunduz3.753450F. Bourrassaud1.251111113WSep 9 · 09:30M. Mutti1.50111113642I. Gunduz2.50631511113WSep 8 · 12:50I. Gunduz1.83911115113D. Pinto1.8311291182LMay 12 · 08:00C. Meissner1.3615411113I. Gunduz3.001311251WApr 30 · 20:00I. Gunduz2.637151111113Y. Abdel-Aziz1.4411179652WApr 30 · 18:29I. Gunduz1.7512117113O. Assar1.951071141WApr 30 · 02:00S. Tancharoen6.00481141I. Gunduz1.0811119113WApr 29 · 20:17P. Sanguansin4.33114681I. Gunduz1.2081111113
E. Gubran10
LSep 2 · 05:00E. Gubran7.506650A. Kenzhigulov1.071111113WJan 28 · 09:25T. Buyan1.85491131E. Gubran1.8011118113LJan 27 · 15:45E. Gubran3.308630D. Vinogradov1.271111113LJan 27 · 09:55E. Gubran1.155550P. Tsai4.451111113LNov 17 · 13:00E. Gubran10.002280I. Quek1.031111113LJan 6 · 09:45E. Gubran8.008260J. Rolland1.061111113LOct 4 · 17:25E. Gubran—5670J. Hung—1111113LMar 22 · 11:35E. Gubran—118881M. Dani—81111113LMar 19 · 10:20I. Gunduz—2311113E. Gubran—21750LJan 14 · 13:30E. Gubran—9650D. Habesohn—1111113
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