TT Lossbeater/WTT Contender Almaty Quals
WTT Contender Almaty QualsMatch #13060345
Played Sep 2Finished
Ebrahim Gubran
Home
7.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
1–4Last 5Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611611511––––
Aidos Kenzhigulov
Away
1.07
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:45 and never touched — 87.5% is still 87.5%
Graded at full timeAidos Kenzhigulov to win
87.5%
87.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingEbrahim Gubran above · Aidos Kenzhigulov below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 50 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Aidos Kenzhigulov at 87.5%
50 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:45What took a side3 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.07 (88%)
Kenzhigulov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Gubran 20% vs Kenzhigulov 60%
Kenzhigulov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gubran 20% vs Kenzhigulov 40%
Kenzhigulov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gubran +1 · Kenzhigulov -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 88% — Strong (leans Kenzhigulov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kenzhigulov form (60%) is below what odds imply (93%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGubran 7.50 / Kenzhigulov 1.07
Signal prob.13% / 88%
Edge (Kenzhigulov)-0.0pp
WTT Contender Almaty Quals · #13060345
Gubran7.50
20%won 1 of 5 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Kenzhigulov1.07
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricGubranKenzhigulovBasisWin rate · lifetime1 / 10 vs 4 / 1010%40%1 / 10 vs 4 / 10Avg sets wonper match0.41.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KenzhigulovGubran 7.50/Kenzhigulov 1.07
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
87.5%
Kenzhigulov · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kenzhigulov won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
E. Gubran10
WJan 28 · 09:25T. Buyan1.85491131E. Gubran1.8011118113LJan 27 · 15:45E. Gubran3.308630D. Vinogradov1.271111113LJan 27 · 09:55E. Gubran1.155550P. Tsai4.451111113LNov 17 · 13:00E. Gubran10.002280I. Quek1.031111113LJan 6 · 09:45E. Gubran8.008260J. Rolland1.061111113LOct 4 · 17:25E. Gubran—5670J. Hung—1111113LMar 22 · 11:35E. Gubran—118881M. Dani—81111113LMar 19 · 10:20I. Gunduz—2311113E. Gubran—21750LJan 14 · 13:30E. Gubran—9650D. Habesohn—1111113LOct 17 · 17:15J. Monteiro—1111113E. Gubran—6840
A. Kenzhigulov10
LSep 2 · 13:20L. Katsman1.131114113A. Kenzhigulov5.5061280LAug 20 · 08:35A. Kenzhigulov2.00111011572T. Tseng1.73812211113LJul 26 · 07:20A. Kenzhigulov5.005101281E. Tikhonov1.14111210113WJul 25 · 13:25B. Rajasekaran—94130A. Kenzhigulov—1111153WJul 25 · 08:05A. Mamay—7570A. Kenzhigulov—1111113WJul 24 · 08:25A. Kenzhigulov—1111113S. Yuldoshev—3440LJun 9 · 10:35A. Kenzhigulov—10114101R. Bhanja—12911123LMay 6 · 12:30A. Kenzhigulov10.008880S. Togami1.031111113LMay 4 · 13:40D. Berzosa1.2711147113A. Kenzhigulov3.357121151LMay 4 · 12:30D. Berzosa1.4011147113A. Kenzhigulov2.757121151
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