TT Lossbeater/WTT Contender Almaty Quals
WTT Contender Almaty QualsMatch #13063088
Played Sep 2Finished
Lev Katsman
Home
1.13
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1161412118––––
Aidos Kenzhigulov
Away
5.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:08 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeLev Katsman to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLev Katsman above · Aidos Kenzhigulov below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 62 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Lev Katsman at 54.1%
62 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:08What took a side2 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.13 (83%)
Katsman
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Katsman 80% vs Kenzhigulov 60%
Katsman
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Katsman 40% vs Kenzhigulov 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Katsman +1 · Kenzhigulov +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 83% — Strong (leans Katsman) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kenzhigulov form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (18%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKatsman 1.13 / Kenzhigulov 5.50
Signal prob.83% / 17%
Edge (Katsman)-0.0pp
WTT Contender Almaty Quals · #13063088
Katsman1.13
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Kenzhigulov5.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKatsmanKenzhigulovBasisWin rate · lifetime4 / 10 vs 4 / 1040%40%4 / 10 vs 4 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KatsmanKatsman 1.13/Kenzhigulov 5.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
83%
Katsman · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Katsman won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
L. Katsman10
LSep 3 · 13:20L. Katsman4.337116101K. Karlsson1.2011411123WSep 2 · 05:00L. Katsman1.0411118113D. Kenzhigulov9.00671161LJul 27 · 14:00E. Dorr1.851112113L. Katsman1.8561070WJul 27 · 08:20L. Katsman1.031211113S. Iskandarov10.0010770WJul 26 · 13:50L. Katsman1.051111113P. Suresh8.503350WJul 2 · 08:35L. Katsman—1111113S. Gulomiddinov—7740LJul 1 · 13:30L. Katsman—1116101142Z. Yaman—818126113LMay 22 · 16:50L. Katsman—11111431H. Hsu—13916113LMay 22 · 08:00L. Katsman1.6711111431H. Hsu2.1013916113LFeb 13 · 21:02T. Moregaard—111210113L. Katsman—6101261
A. Kenzhigulov10
WSep 2 · 05:00E. Gubran7.506650A. Kenzhigulov1.071111113LAug 20 · 08:35A. Kenzhigulov2.00111011572T. Tseng1.73812211113LJul 26 · 07:20A. Kenzhigulov5.005101281E. Tikhonov1.14111210113WJul 25 · 13:25B. Rajasekaran—94130A. Kenzhigulov—1111153WJul 25 · 08:05A. Mamay—7570A. Kenzhigulov—1111113WJul 24 · 08:25A. Kenzhigulov—1111113S. Yuldoshev—3440LJun 9 · 10:35A. Kenzhigulov—10114101R. Bhanja—12911123LMay 6 · 12:30A. Kenzhigulov10.008880S. Togami1.031111113LMay 4 · 13:40D. Berzosa1.2711147113A. Kenzhigulov3.357121151LMay 4 · 12:30D. Berzosa1.4011147113A. Kenzhigulov2.757121151
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