TT Lossbeater/WTT Contender Almaty Quals
WTT Contender Almaty QualsMatch #13059545
Played Sep 2Finished
Lev Katsman
Home
1.04
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116117811116––
Dastan Kenzhigulov
Away
9.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:46 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDastan Kenzhigulov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingLev Katsman above · Dastan Kenzhigulov below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 71 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Dastan Kenzhigulov at 54.0%
71 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:46What took a side0 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.04 (90%)
Katsman
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Katsman 60% vs Kenzhigulov 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Katsman 30% vs Kenzhigulov 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Katsman -1 · Kenzhigulov +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 90% — Strong (leans Katsman) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kenzhigulov form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (11%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKatsman 1.04 / Kenzhigulov 9.00
Signal prob.90% / 10%
Edge (Katsman)-0.0pp
WTT Contender Almaty Quals · #13059545
Katsman1.04
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Kenzhigulov9.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
67%takes the first set · 6 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKatsmanKenzhigulovBasisWin rate · lifetime3 / 10 vs 4 / 1030%40%3 / 10 vs 4 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.51.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
KatsmanKatsman 1.04/Kenzhigulov 9.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
89.6%
Katsman · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Katsman won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
L. Katsman10
LSep 3 · 13:20L. Katsman4.337116101K. Karlsson1.2011411123WSep 2 · 13:20L. Katsman1.131114113A. Kenzhigulov5.5061280LJul 27 · 14:00E. Dorr1.851112113L. Katsman1.8561070WJul 27 · 08:20L. Katsman1.031211113S. Iskandarov10.0010770WJul 26 · 13:50L. Katsman1.051111113P. Suresh8.503350WJul 2 · 08:35L. Katsman—1111113S. Gulomiddinov—7740LJul 1 · 13:30L. Katsman—1116101142Z. Yaman—818126113LMay 22 · 16:50L. Katsman—11111431H. Hsu—13916113LMay 22 · 08:00L. Katsman1.6711111431H. Hsu2.1013916113LFeb 13 · 21:02T. Moregaard—111210113L. Katsman—6101261
D. Kenzhigulov10
WSep 1 · 11:00M. Toliev—4590D. Kenzhigulov—1111113LMar 3 · 11:20J. Nayre1.531111113D. Kenzhigulov2.388450WMar 2 · 12:05D. Kenzhigulov—11117113T. Scholtes—691191LSep 18 · 09:30D. Kenzhigulov1.83116861A. Kenzhigulov1.8391111113WSep 17 · 15:15S. Mishra1.8015811101D. Kenzhigulov1.9117115123WSep 16 · 10:00D. Kenzhigulov1.831111133S. Oh1.8336110LSep 2 · 12:40Y. Sakai1.111111113D. Kenzhigulov6.005650LAug 22 · 09:30D. Kenzhigulov1.83117271F. Vallino1.8371111113LJun 24 · 13:00D. Kenzhigulov10.005660H. Xu1.031111113LMar 30 · 18:20H. Deschamps1.401116103D. Kenzhigulov2.75414100
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