TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13146439
Played Sep 18Finished
Karol Wisniewski
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119119117––––
Krzysztof Kapik
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:49 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Kapik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
58 points played in total.
Set by set
119119117––––
H2H Karol Wisniewski 121–138 Krzysztof Kapik Karol Wisniewski has won 121 of their 259 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:49What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (58%)
Kapik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
121-138 in 259
Kapik
Wrong
gap of 17 in 259, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wisniewski 1596 vs Kapik 1712
Kapik
Wrong
both rated, 116 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wisniewski 40% vs Kapik 80%
Kapik
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wisniewski 50% vs Kapik 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wisniewski -1 · Kapik -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Kapik) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kapik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWisniewski 2.20 / Kapik 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Kapik)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13146439
Wisniewski2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 210 of 553
Down 0–1, comes back19% 66 of 345
Down 0–2, comes back4% 8 of 209
Kapik1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite63% won 228 of 363
Up 2–0, closes it96% 108 of 113
Up 1–0, closes it79% 152 of 193
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWisniewski3wins
AwayKapik7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKapik leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWisniewskin = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayKapik77.8%7 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wisniewski1Kapik9n = 10Kapik took 9 of 10
S2Wisniewski5Kapik5n = 10split evenly
S3Wisniewski4Kapik6n = 10Kapik took 6 of 10
S4Wisniewski2Kapik3n = 5Kapik took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricWisniewskiKapikW − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match30.637.1−6.5per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWisniewskiKapikBasisWin rate · lifetime987 / 2185 vs 1127 / 211745.2%53.2%987 / 2185 vs 1127 / 2117Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.439.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KapikWisniewski 2.20/Kapik 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.2%
Kapik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Wisniewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 17 · 04:00K. Wisniewski4391171152K. Kapik47118116113
LSep 16 · 07:15K. Wisniewski35913581K. Kapik44111111113
LSep 15 · 06:25K. Wisniewski187740K. Kapik331111113
LAug 31 · 11:20K. Wisniewski331131181K. Kapik4313118113
WAug 28 · 10:55K. Wisniewski331111113K. Kapik248790
LAug 17 · 09:45K. Wisniewski2477100K. Kapik341111123
WAug 14 · 22:50K. Wisniewski43711113113K. Kapik4411981152
WAug 13 · 23:20K. Wisniewski3951211113K. Kapik351110591
LAug 13 · 24:35K. Wisniewski2181030K. Kapik341112113
LAug 11 · 22:35K. Wisniewski174940K. Kapik331111113
K. Wisniewski10
LSep 18 · 04:00K. Wisniewski2.95751251K. Wloczko1.35111110113LSep 17 · 07:40K. Wisniewski1.8751111552D. Kosmal1.83117711113WSep 17 · 06:25K. Wisniewski2.731110119113J. Kuzmicz1.4151281162WSep 17 · 05:15K. Wisniewski2.131111113P. Jendrzejewski1.599480LSep 17 · 04:00K. Kapik1.63118116113K. Wisniewski2.0591171152LSep 17 · 03:20K. Wisniewski1.9711116972M. Olbrycht1.69881111113LSep 16 · 08:05P. Jendrzejewski1.651111113K. Wisniewski2.036990LSep 16 · 07:15K. Kapik1.67111111113K. Wisniewski2.00913581WSep 16 · 05:15D. Kosmal1.73891151K. Wisniewski1.9811117113WSep 16 · 04:25M. Olbrycht1.761091171K. Wisniewski1.9012117113
K. Kapik10
WSep 18 · 04:25D. Kostal2.059116151K. Kapik1.6811611173LSep 17 · 13:50K. Kapik1.8088110M. Olbrycht1.851111133WSep 17 · 12:35K. Kapik1.501512123D. Solilo2.401310100WSep 17 · 11:20K. Kapik1.80911711113P. Jendrzejewski1.8511511992WSep 17 · 10:05M. Rutkowski1.754760K. Kapik1.901111113WSep 17 · 09:20K. Kapik1.8581113113G. Poliniewicz1.791141191LSep 17 · 08:30K. Kapik1.83911891M. Olbrycht1.8711811113LSep 17 · 06:50K. Kapik1.851081171D. Kosmal1.8512113113WSep 17 · 04:00K. Kapik1.63118116113K. Wisniewski2.0591171152WSep 16 · 07:15K. Kapik1.67111111113K. Wisniewski2.00913581
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