TT Lossbeater/WTT Star Contender Astana Quals
WTT Star Contender Astana QualsMatch #13141808
Played Sep 17Finished
Darius Movileanu
Home
3.75
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1195111210116––
Bo Fang
Away
1.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:24 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDarius Movileanu to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDarius Movileanu above · Bo Fang below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 75 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Darius Movileanu at 54.0%
75 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:24What took a side0 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Fang
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Movileanu 60% vs Fang 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Movileanu 60% vs Fang 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Movileanu +2 · Fang -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Fang) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fang form (60%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMovileanu 3.75 / Fang 1.25
Signal prob.25% / 75%
Edge (Fang)+0.0pp
WTT Star Contender Astana Quals · #13141808
Movileanu3.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Fang1.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricMovileanuFangBasisWin rate · lifetime6 / 10 vs 5 / 1060%50%6 / 10 vs 5 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.91.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FangMovileanu 3.75/Fang 1.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
75%
Fang · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Movileanu won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
D. Movileanu10
WSep 16 · 13:55D. Movileanu1.831111113G. Zhou1.839360WSep 16 · 06:00D. Movileanu1.731111113Y. Tang2.008550LAug 8 · 07:00T. Jarvis1.611111113D. Movileanu2.202390LJun 2 · 16:10C. Nuytinck1.361213143D. Movileanu3.001011120WJun 2 · 09:00D. Movileanu1.221111113A. Baggaley4.009870WJun 1 · 15:50D. Movileanu3.50121011113S. Aida1.281012571LMay 17 · 17:50G. Gomez3.7511911113D. Movileanu1.25911681LMay 12 · 08:00R. Yoshiyama1.221112113D. Movileanu4.0091030WApr 30 · 22:00F. Duffoo6.75711111122D. Movileanu1.06116813113WApr 30 · 20:05F. Duffoo8.00711111122D. Movileanu1.06116813113
B. Fang10
LSep 5 · 06:45B. Fang2.101250S. Gauzy1.671111113WSep 4 · 06:10K. Gerassimenko1.67111171172B. Fang2.10139118113WSep 3 · 07:20F. Meng—941141B. Fang—11118113WSep 3 · 05:00F. Meng3.75941141B. Fang1.2511118113LAug 12 · 11:45K. Jha1.401111123B. Fang2.7589100LJun 17 · 18:20Y. Huang—1111113B. Fang—8560LJun 16 · 16:00Y. Huang2.201111113B. Fang1.618560WJun 16 · 09:45E. Ly10.507111241B. Fang1.02111310113LJun 10 · 16:20A. Bhattacharjee4.3312113113B. Fang1.201071161WJun 10 · 10:20B. Fang1.2811118113A. Robles3.03591151
Upcoming Matches
D. Movileanu
B. Fang
Nothing scheduled
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