TT Lossbeater/WTT Star Contender Astana Quals
WTT Star Contender Astana QualsMatch #13139058
Played Sep 16Finished
Darius Movileanu
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119113116––––
Guanhong Zhou
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
2–0Last 2Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:57 and never touched — 50.0% is still 50.0%
Final score unavailable — not graded hereEven read — no favourite
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Pick
NoneHow it is goingDarius Movileanu above · Guanhong Zhou below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 51 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Darius Movileanu at 50.0%
51 points played in total.
H2H Darius Movileanu 1–0 Guanhong Zhou Guanhong Zhou has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:57What took a side0 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Zhou
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Movileanu 60% vs Zhou 100%
Zhou
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Movileanu 50% vs Zhou 100%
Zhou
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Movileanu +1 · Zhou +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zhou) · live re-read · sealed at 50% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zhou form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMovileanu 1.83 / Zhou 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Zhou)+4.0pp
WTT Star Contender Astana Quals · #13139058
Movileanu1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Zhou1.83
100%won 2 of 2 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest0%takes the first set · 0 of 1
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMovileanu1wins
AwayZhou0wins
Movileanu leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricMovileanuZhouM − ZBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.018.0+15.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMovileanuZhouBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 10 vs 2 / 250%100%5 / 10 vs 2 / 2Avg sets wonper match1.83.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZhouMovileanu 1.83/Zhou 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Zhou · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Movileanu won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 16 · 13:55D. Movileanu331111113G. Zhou189360
D. Movileanu10
WSep 17 · 14:20D. Movileanu3.7511512113B. Fang1.259111061WSep 16 · 06:00D. Movileanu1.731111113Y. Tang2.008550LAug 8 · 07:00T. Jarvis1.611111113D. Movileanu2.202390LJun 2 · 16:10C. Nuytinck1.361213143D. Movileanu3.001011120WJun 2 · 09:00D. Movileanu1.221111113A. Baggaley4.009870WJun 1 · 15:50D. Movileanu3.50121011113S. Aida1.281012571LMay 17 · 17:50G. Gomez3.7511911113D. Movileanu1.25911681LMay 12 · 08:00R. Yoshiyama1.221112113D. Movileanu4.0091030WApr 30 · 22:00F. Duffoo6.75711111122D. Movileanu1.06116813113WApr 30 · 20:05F. Duffoo8.00711111122D. Movileanu1.06116813113
G. Zhou2
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