TT Lossbeater/WTT Star Contender Astana Quals
WTT Star Contender Astana QualsMatch #13136166
Played Sep 16Finished
Fanbo Meng
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
6111161311119––
Gaon Kim
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:44 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeFanbo Meng to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFanbo Meng above · Gaon Kim below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 78 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Fanbo Meng at 54.0%
78 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:44What took a side1 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kim
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Meng 80% vs Kim 60%
Meng
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Meng 40% vs Kim 60%
Kim
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Meng +1 · Kim +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Kim) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Meng form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMeng 2.10 / Kim 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Kim)+0.0pp
WTT Star Contender Astana Quals · #13136166
Meng2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Kim1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricMengKimBasisWin rate · lifetime4 / 10 vs 6 / 1040%60%4 / 10 vs 6 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.62.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KimMeng 2.10/Kim 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Kim · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Meng won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
F. Meng10
WSep 17 · 14:55G. Park1.361111981F. Meng3.0013611113WSep 15 · 13:10F. Meng1.0611119113T. Jiyenbayev8.00661131LSep 10 · 15:50A. Robles1.401110611113F. Meng2.7581211792WSep 9 · 16:40C. Rossi2.7571181182F. Meng1.40119119113WSep 9 · 09:05V. Picard1.57812151192F. Meng2.251110177113WSep 8 · 11:40F. Meng1.141111123T. Yilmaz5.0092100LSep 3 · 07:20F. Meng—941141B. Fang—11118113LSep 3 · 05:00F. Meng3.75941141B. Fang1.2511118113LAug 6 · 11:50F. Meng3.2774100Y. Tanaka1.271111113LAug 6 · 03:00F. Meng4.0074100Y. Tanaka1.221111123
G. Kim10
WSep 15 · 13:45L. Volin2.50771161G. Kim1.5011116113LAug 27 · 17:25L. Pistej1.83117911113G. Kim1.8391111522WAug 27 · 10:55G. Kim1.571011611113B. Fruchart2.2512711582WAug 26 · 18:00G. Kim1.614111114113A. Keshavarzi2.20111361252LAug 22 · 11:55R. Castro2.10111111143G. Kim1.671395121WAug 21 · 10:20M. Andersen4.00111111862G. Kim1.22134911113LAug 7 · 06:20J. Choi2.00511112113G. Kim1.73116111062WAug 6 · 12:25J. Hagberg—117671G. Kim—81111113LJul 27 · 08:20R. Kawakami1.611111113G. Kim2.204770WJul 26 · 14:00G. Kim—1111113M. Toliev—3760
Upcoming Matches
F. Meng
G. Kim
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