TT Lossbeater/WTT Contender Panagyurishte
WTT Contender PanagyurishteMatch #13106075
Played Sep 10Finished
Ryuusei Kawakami
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11512141149111210
Marcos Freitas
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:54 and never touched — 60.7% is still 60.7%
Graded at full timeRyuusei Kawakami to win
60.7%
60.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRyuusei Kawakami above · Marcos Freitas below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 10-10
Point 97 set 5, 10-10 — our read held Ryuusei Kawakami at 60.7%
97 points drawn · the score is 2 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:54What took a side4 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Kawakami
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Kawakami 80% vs Freitas 40%
Kawakami
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kawakami 80% vs Freitas 50%
Kawakami
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kawakami +4 · Freitas -2
Kawakami
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Kawakami)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kawakami form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKawakami 1.53 / Freitas 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Kawakami)+0.0pp
WTT Contender Panagyurishte · #13106075
Kawakami1.53
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Freitas2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKawakamiFreitasBasisWin rate · lifetime8 / 10 vs 5 / 1080%50%8 / 10 vs 5 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.71.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KawakamiKawakami 1.53/Freitas 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Kawakami · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kawakami won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
R. Kawakami10
WSep 17 · 13:10R. Kawakami1.83115611113A. Bertelsmeier1.8391111692WSep 16 · 12:35R. Kawakami1.531112611113H. Kobayashi2.3831411832WSep 15 · 13:45R. Kawakami1.2551311113H. Yu3.751111571LSep 12 · 09:15R. Kawakami2.50111421182D. Ovtcharov1.50616118113WSep 11 · 15:35R. Brard6.001111122112R. Kawakami1.11761411133WSep 9 · 16:40R. Kawakami1.131112113B. Haug5.5081060WSep 9 · 07:25R. Kawakami1.131111113A. Puppo5.505860WSep 8 · 13:00R. Kawakami1.361111113B. Fruchart3.005350WSep 8 · 11:15R. Kawakami1.271111113B. Fruchart3.355350LAug 23 · 16:15H. Kwon2.2011611113R. Kawakami1.61211981
M. Freitas10
LAug 9 · 10:20M. Freitas1.987960I. Chirita1.681111113LAug 9 · 08:35M. Freitas2.107960I. Chirita1.671111113WAug 8 · 08:45M. Freitas1.051111113T. Choi8.505370LJun 28 · 03:25M. Freitas1.36671251H. Cifuentes3.00111110113WJun 27 · 19:20M. Freitas1.83791112113Y. Chang1.83111191062LJun 16 · 15:00S. Aida2.38711119113M. Freitas1.5311371122LJun 6 · 16:05M. Freitas2.10111771K. Jha1.6791111113WJun 4 · 17:50E. Dorr2.5058100M. Freitas1.501111123WJun 3 · 15:10H. Hsu2.6381110131M. Freitas1.4411812153WJun 2 · 15:35M. Freitas1.361111133A. Putuntica3.0033110
Upcoming Matches
R. Kawakami
M. Freitas
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