TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden Quals
WTT Europe Smash Sweden QualsMatch #12379587
Played Aug 8Finished
Marcos Freitas
Home
1.05
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115113117––––
Timothy Choi
Away
8.50
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:00 and never touched — 89.0% is still 89.0%
Graded at full timeMarcos Freitas to win
89.0%
89.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMarcos Freitas above · Timothy Choi below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 48 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Marcos Freitas at 89.0%
48 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:00What took a side3 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.05 (89%)
Freitas
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Freitas 40% vs Choi 0%
Freitas
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Freitas 60% vs Choi 10%
Freitas
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Freitas -1 · Choi -5
Choi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 89% — Strong (leans Freitas)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Choi form (0%) is below what odds imply (12%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFreitas 1.05 / Choi 8.50
Signal prob.89% / 11%
Edge (Freitas)-0.0pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Quals · #12379587
Freitas1.05
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Choi8.50
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest25%takes the first set · 2 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricFreitasChoiBasisWin rate · lifetime6 / 10 vs 0 / 1060%0%6 / 10 vs 0 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.20.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
FreitasFreitas 1.05/Choi 8.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
89%
Freitas · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Freitas won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Freitas10
LAug 9 · 10:20M. Freitas1.987960I. Chirita1.681111113LAug 9 · 08:35M. Freitas2.107960I. Chirita1.671111113LJun 28 · 03:25M. Freitas1.36671251H. Cifuentes3.00111110113WJun 27 · 19:20M. Freitas1.83791112113Y. Chang1.83111191062LJun 16 · 15:00S. Aida2.38711119113M. Freitas1.5311371122LJun 6 · 16:05M. Freitas2.10111771K. Jha1.6791111113WJun 4 · 17:50E. Dorr2.5058100M. Freitas1.501111123WJun 3 · 15:10H. Hsu2.6381110131M. Freitas1.4411812153WJun 2 · 15:35M. Freitas1.361111133A. Putuntica3.0033110WJun 1 · 16:40M. Freitas1.441111113A. Kouraichi2.635480
T. Choi10
LApr 30 · 19:30T. Choi—11991292M. Benchat—6111110113LApr 29 · 13:40A. Sareen1.161111113T. Choi4.407770LApr 29 · 12:29A. Sareen1.171111113T. Choi4.507770LApr 28 · 16:34T. Choi—5740J. Ri—1111113LMar 31 · 02:40D. Jorgic1.031111113T. Choi10.003730LMar 30 · 10:45J. An1.0111117113T. Choi12.00591171LAug 11 · 03:10T. Choi1.83121181152X. Zhang1.831013118113LMay 18 · 11:05T. Choi8.5038117121M. Thakkar1.051111611144LApr 3 · 08:40S. Siraj—1161410123T. Choi—7111212102LMar 29 · 18:35M. Thakkar—1111113T. Choi—3540
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