TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12480928
Played Aug 23Finished
Rafal Wojcik
Home
3.30
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012911911––––
Michal Oracz
Away
1.27
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:41 and never touched — 62.2% is still 62.2%
Graded at full timeMichal Oracz to win
62.2%
62.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
62 points played in total.
Set by set
1012911911––––
H2H Rafal Wojcik 4–24 Michal Oracz Rafal Wojcik has won 4 of their 28 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:41What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.27 (72%)
Oracz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-24 in 28
Oracz
Correct
gap of 20 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wojcik 1322 vs Oracz 1470
Oracz
Correct
both rated, 148 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wojcik 40% vs Oracz 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wojcik 50% vs Oracz 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wojcik -2 · Oracz +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 88% — Strong (leans Oracz) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Oracz form (40%) is below what odds imply (79%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWojcik 3.30 / Oracz 1.27
Signal prob.12% / 88%
Edge (Oracz)+15.8pp
TT Elite Series · #12480928
Wojcik3.30
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog30% won 40 of 132
Down 0–1, comes back17% 14 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 47
Oracz1.27
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 109 of 185
Up 2–0, closes it94% 68 of 72
Up 1–0, closes it79% 88 of 111
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWojcik2wins
AwayOracz8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderOracz leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWojcikn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayOracz87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wojcik2Oracz8n = 10Oracz took 8 of 10
S2Wojcik3Oracz7n = 10Oracz took 7 of 10
S3Wojcik5Oracz5n = 10split evenly
S4Wojcik5Oracz2n = 7Wojcik took 5 of 7
S5Wojcik0Oracz4n = 4Oracz took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricWojcikOraczW − OBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match35.740.0−4.3per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWojcikOraczBasisWin rate · lifetime199 / 474 vs 318 / 51142%62.2%199 / 474 vs 318 / 511Avg sets wonper match1.82.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OraczWojcik 3.30/Oracz 1.27
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
88%
Oracz · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Oracz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LMar 29 · 12:45R. Wojcik—47121282M. Oracz—11111010113
LMar 29 · 10:20R. Wojcik—7960M. Oracz—1111113
LMar 28 · 13:45R. Wojcik—94100M. Oracz—1111123
LMar 28 · 11:20R. Wojcik—111571M. Oracz—11911113
LFeb 15 · 10:30R. Wojcik—91191292M. Oracz—1191110113
WJan 25 · 14:55R. Wojcik—11711113M. Oracz—611691
LJan 25 · 08:55R. Wojcik—11811662M. Oracz—511611113
WJan 11 · 16:30R. Wojcik—21111113M. Oracz—113841
LJan 4 · 14:30R. Wojcik—610110M. Oracz—1112133
LNov 22 · 10:05R. Wojcik—109121192M. Oracz—1211104113
R. Wojcik10
WSep 6 · 16:40R. Wojcik2.901011124113W. Wojtaszczyk1.34127101142LSep 6 · 15:05M. Lach1.65131112113R. Wojcik2.101161471LSep 6 · 14:20K. Slawinski1.3011117113R. Wojcik3.10891191LSep 6 · 13:30R. Wojcik3.60881191M. Oracz1.2511118113LSep 6 · 12:20R. Wojcik1.68121111492R. Piechnik2.02149911113LSep 6 · 10:40R. Wojcik2.60108100W. Wojtaszczyk1.441211123LSep 6 · 09:05M. Lach1.6311139113R. Wojcik2.108111111WSep 6 · 08:20R. Piechnik1.95714551R. Wojcik1.75111211113LSep 6 · 07:30R. Wojcik2.4510411101M. Oracz1.4912116123WSep 6 · 06:20R. Wojcik2.701211611123K. Slawinski1.401013118102
M. Oracz10
WSep 6 · 17:05K. Slawinski1.8310770M. Oracz1.861211113LSep 6 · 15:55M. Oracz2.006860W. Wojtaszczyk1.711111113LSep 6 · 14:45R. Piechnik1.501114113M. Oracz2.5091270WSep 6 · 13:30R. Wojcik3.60881191M. Oracz1.2511118113WSep 6 · 11:55M. Lach1.86911991M. Oracz1.8011711113WSep 6 · 11:05R. Piechnik2.507116111M. Oracz1.4511911133WSep 6 · 09:55M. Oracz1.841111113W. Wojtaszczyk1.839980LSep 6 · 08:45K. Slawinski1.711511113M. Oracz1.9713760WSep 6 · 07:30R. Wojcik2.4510411101M. Oracz1.4912116123WSep 6 · 05:55M. Lach—1012841M. Oracz—121011113
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