TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden Quals
Sid Naresh vs Martin Allegro 1-3 · WTT Europe Smash Sweden Quals
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Quals
Played Aug 8Finished
Sid Naresh
Home
3.75
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
––––––––––
Martin Allegro
Away
1.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:26 and never touched — 75.0% is still 75.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Allegro to win
75.0%
75.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
H2H Sid Naresh 0–1 Martin Allegro Sid Naresh has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:26What took a side3 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Allegro
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Naresh 0% vs Allegro 60%
Allegro
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Naresh 10% vs Allegro 60%
Allegro
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Naresh -5 · Allegro -1
Naresh
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Allegro)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Allegro form (60%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNaresh 3.75 / Allegro 1.25
Signal prob.25% / 75%
Edge (Allegro)+0.0pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Quals · #12379706
Naresh3.75
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest13%takes the first set · 1 of 8
Allegro1.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeNaresh0wins
AwayAllegro1wins
Allegro leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricNareshAllegroN − ABasisWins01−1in 1 meetingSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNareshAllegroBasisWin rate · lifetime2 / 9 vs 6 / 1022.2%60%2 / 9 vs 6 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.22.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AllegroNaresh 3.75/Allegro 1.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75%
Allegro · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Allegro won
Recent Results
S. Naresh10
LAug 22 · 11:20S. Naresh6.00126110I. Quek1.111411133WAug 21 · 16:15A. Rasanen2.3847111292S. Naresh1.531111910113LJun 26 · 22:05O. Ionescu1.2011911113S. Naresh4.33411581LFeb 19 · 08:35J. Ma1.2511101211113S. Naresh3.7551214762LAug 14 · 16:55S. Naresh3.7556130C. Liao1.251111153LAug 11 · 20:30K. Yoshimura1.131118113S. Naresh5.5041660WAug 11 · 01:40Y. Kwak1.8310611101S. Naresh1.8312114123LJul 8 · 02:55T. Harimoto1.011111113S. Naresh15.003670LMay 18 · 11:05S. Naresh2.005611881F. Sanchi1.731111611114LJan 30 · 04:00K. Karlsson1.101111113S. Naresh6.503750
M. Allegro10
LSep 17 · 14:55D. Vinogradov1.8311811113M. Allegro1.83611491LAug 9 · 09:45M. Allegro1.96129111682C. Nuytinck1.701411814113LAug 9 · 08:35M. Allegro2.25129111682C. Nuytinck1.571411814113LJun 28 · 02:15V. Ursu1.571111113M. Allegro2.255880WJun 27 · 18:10M. Allegro5.00511913113G. Park1.14119111182WJun 26 · 20:45R. Castro3.401181191M. Allegro1.3013118113LJun 10 · 10:20G. Kuo1.3512114113M. Allegro2.701031171WJun 10 · 05:55F. Vallino5.80139891M. Allegro1.09111111113WJun 9 · 18:15F. Vallino4.50139891M. Allegro1.17111111113LJun 2 · 16:45D. Kozul1.821111113M. Allegro1.825540
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