TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Roman Durovic vs Jan Krames Sr 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Jul 23Finished
Roman Durovic
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
118611911711––
Jan Krames Sr
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
How it is goingRoman Durovic above · Jan Krames Sr below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 74 set 4, 7-11
74 points played in total.
H2H Roman Durovic 6–10 Jan Krames Sr Roman Durovic has won 6 of their 16 meetings.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Sr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sr form (0%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDurovic 2.10 / Sr 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Sr)+1.0pp
Setka Cup · #12290396
Durovic2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 22 of 55
Down 0–1, comes back19% 6 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 12
Sr1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 107 of 187
Up 2–0, closes it90% 54 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it75% 90 of 120
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDurovic4wins
AwaySr6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSr leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDurovic66.7%2 of 3
AwaySr71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Durovic3Sr7n = 10Sr took 7 of 10
S2Durovic7Sr3n = 10Durovic took 7 of 10
S3Durovic6Sr4n = 10Durovic took 6 of 10
S4Durovic3Sr6n = 9Sr took 6 of 9
S5Durovic2Sr3n = 5Sr took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDurovicSrD − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match39.543.4−3.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDurovicSrBasisWin rate · lifetime217 / 412 vs 394 / 70252.7%56.1%217 / 412 vs 394 / 702Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.940.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SrDurovic 2.10/Sr 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.8%
Sr · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 23 · 17:15R. Durovic3811511113J. Sr36911971
LJul 21 · 17:45R. Durovic34514871J. Sr45111211113
LJul 15 · 18:15R. Durovic4441112892J. Sr511181011113
WJul 1 · 20:18R. Durovic331111113J. Sr228860
WJul 1 · 18:45R. Durovic49711911113J. Sr4611911692
LJun 9 · 18:30R. Durovic3411112552J. Sr46671111113
LMay 6 · 20:19R. Durovic31791141J. Sr4111118113
WMay 6 · 17:15R. Durovic53713611163J. Sr551111118142
LMar 17 · 18:15R. Durovic31681161J. Sr4011117113
LJan 29 · 21:18R. Durovic4871311892J. Sr521111811113
R. Durovic10
LAug 11 · 20:18R. Durovic1.614440R. Debnar2.201111113WAug 11 · 19:15R. Debnar1.675740R. Durovic2.101111113LAug 11 · 18:45R. Durovic2.251383121L. Dobias1.57111111143LAug 11 · 17:45R. Durovic1.6711115862M. Kocvara2.10951111113WAug 6 · 20:58J. Dolezal2.25115991R. Durovic1.5781111113WAug 6 · 19:30L. Benak1.8011741222R. Durovic1.918111110113WAug 6 · 19:00R. Durovic1.67111178113L. Rulc2.1067111172WAug 6 · 18:00R. Durovic1.6111127113J. Dolezal2.208101181LJul 23 · 19:45M. Ullman1.8371111163R. Durovic1.831173141WJul 23 · 18:45L. Heinzl1.5311611962R. Durovic2.38211811113
J. Sr10
LSep 18 · 20:43V. Burylov1.8311115113J. Sr1.83181131WSep 18 · 19:15A. Snr2.00671181J. Sr1.7311118113WSep 18 · 18:45J. Sr1.91111011133V. Burylov1.807128111WSep 18 · 17:45J. Sr1.831211810113L. Dobias1.83106111232WSep 15 · 20:14J. Sr1.611211113J. Dolezal2.2010770LSep 15 · 19:45S. Rejent2.251111113J. Sr1.577980LSep 15 · 18:45V. Grubr2.5012131012113J. Sr1.501411121082WSep 15 · 17:15J. Dolezal2.50821441J. Sr1.50111112113LSep 13 · 20:43R. Pisa2.25951111123J. Sr1.57111196102WSep 13 · 19:45J. Sr1.4012129113R. Pisa2.7510101131
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