TT Lossbeater/ITTF World Team Champs
ITTF World Team ChampsMatch #11817216
Played Apr 29Finished
Deni Kozul
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11112101214411119
Pavel Sirucek
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingDeni Kozul above · Pavel Sirucek below
Set 1 · 11-1
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 95 set 5, 11-9
95 points played in total.
H2H Deni Kozul 2–0 Pavel Sirucek Pavel Sirucek has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kozul)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sirucek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKozul 1.50 / Sirucek 2.50
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kozul)-8.5pp (anti-value)
ITTF World Team Champs · #11817216
The market does not separate these two
1.50 against 2.50 — a coin flip with a margin on top.
Below 3pp of separation the engine pins the read to 50 ± 4 and then drops the pick. So no percentage is published here — the price is the datum.
Kozul1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Sirucek2.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKozul2wins
AwaySirucek0wins
Kozul leads 2–0.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home2
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricKozulSirucekK − SBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match50.045.0+5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKozulSirucekBasisWin rate · lifetime28 / 57 vs 61 / 9549.1%64.2%28 / 57 vs 61 / 95Avg sets wonper match1.92.3per matchAvg pointsper match34.937.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KozulKozul 1.50/Sirucek 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kozul · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kozul won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
W—D. Kozul—3P. Sirucek—2
D. Kozul10
LAug 28 · 16:15D. Kozul2.63114561A. Bhattacharjee1.4491111113WAug 28 · 09:45D. Dorcescu4.00913751D. Kozul1.22111111113WAug 27 · 16:50D. Kozul1.2261111123M. Andersen3.751169101WAug 27 · 16:50D. Kozul1.2061111113M. Buch4.331169101WAug 27 · 10:20D. Kozul1.3611128113Y. Yu3.005101151WAug 26 · 17:25D. Kozul1.351111123R. Heras2.9058100LAug 11 · 12:20D. Kozul4.33931181D. Jorgic1.2011115113WAug 9 · 20:50D. Kozul5.551111113G. Park1.107960WAug 9 · 17:55D. Kozul6.001111103G. Park1.117960WAug 9 · 12:05D. Kozul1.30111011113A. Levenko3.40912891
P. Sirucek10
WSep 3 · 17:17P. Sirucek1.25111011113R. Rezetka3.75612951WAug 30 · 08:55A. Kolak—95100P. Sirucek—1111123WAug 29 · 08:00P. Sirucek1.301111113A. Klajber3.405890WAug 28 · 08:03P. Sirucek1.501112113G. Camara2.5071060LApr 30 · 12:00P. Sirucek4.009870A. Robles1.221111113LApr 29 · 14:25D. Kozul—3P. Sirucek—2WApr 28 · 12:30P. Sirucek—3R. Rashed—2LApr 15 · 10:55P. Sirucek2.7551370Y. Kizukuri1.401115113WApr 8 · 18:03G. Gomez2.2511511782P. Sirucek1.57711911103WApr 8 · 16:27S. Brhel3.7556161152P. Sirucek1.25111114683
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