TT Lossbeater/World Cup Qualification Women
World Cup Qualification WomenMatch #11670857
Played Apr 1Finished
Mima Ito
Home
1.07
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117115112––––
Elizabeta Samara
Away
7.50
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingMima Ito above · Elizabeta Samara below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 4-0
Point 38 set 3, 4-0
38 points drawn · the score is 9 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Mima Ito 0–1 Elizabeta Samara Mima Ito has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 80% — Strong (leans Ito)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Samara form (0%) is below what odds imply (13%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIto 1.07 / Samara 7.50
Signal prob.80% / 20%
Edge (Ito)-7.1pp (anti-value)
World Cup Qualification Women · #11670857
Ito1.07
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
Samara7.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeIto0wins
AwaySamara1wins
Samara leads 1–0.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricItoSamaraI − SBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match49.041.0+8.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricItoSamaraBasisWin rate · lifetime32 / 48 vs 20 / 4966.7%40.8%32 / 48 vs 20 / 49Avg sets wonper match2.71.8per matchAvg pointsper match41.934.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ItoIto 1.07/Samara 7.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
80.4%
Ito · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Ito won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
L—M. Ito—3E. Samara—2
M. Ito10
LAug 10 · 17:10Y. Qin2.50711144113M. Ito1.50113121192LAug 5 · 11:15Y. Wang1.2081111113M. Ito3.60111931LAug 4 · 02:00Y. Wang1.2281111113M. Ito4.00111931LJul 3 · 02:10M. Ito3.407870M. Harimoto1.301111113WJul 1 · 03:20M. Ito1.081111113X. Shan7.002280WJun 29 · 03:20M. Ito1.1011711113A. Wang6.50211751LApr 2 · 11:30M. Ito6.5096530M. Wang1.10111111114LApr 2 · 04:30M. Ito6.0096530M. Wang1.10111111114WMar 30 · 24:30M. Ito1.0512101111113M. Zhang8.50101213442LFeb 26 · 10:35Y. Wang1.20121111113M. Ito4.33147631
E. Samara10
LAug 13 · 17:45A. Kaufmann1.5011117113E. Samara2.50671171WAug 10 · 17:10A. Dragoman2.10111188122E. Samara1.67451111143LAug 5 · 08:30I. Cheng1.1611119113E. Samara4.02961131LAug 4 · 02:00I. Cheng1.2011119113E. Samara4.33961131LJun 29 · 02:10E. Samara6.00101171492X. Shi1.111281112113LJun 18 · 04:00E. Samara2.637111371S. Polcanova1.4411915113LJun 4 · 08:00E. Samara3.00582291A. Diaz1.36111120113LMay 23 · 09:00E. Samara5.006820C. Joo1.141111113WMay 22 · 10:45E. Samara1.20914314133F. Schreiner4.3311121112112WMay 21 · 16:10E. Samara1.171112113N. Mani4.5081050
Upcoming Matches
M. Ito
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E. Samara
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