Mikolaj Lukaszewski vs Bartlomiej Mrugala · pre-match analysis

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesOSP 2 · Czestochowa

Starts 00:35Scheduled

Mikolaj Lukaszewski

Home

1.95

At publish

Lost last 5

3–7Last 10Lost last 5

Head to head

14 – 13

All 27 meetings · 51.9%

Last 10 · 5–5

Bartlomiej Mrugala

Away

1.75

At publish

Won last 1

4–6Last 10Won last 1

Mikolaj Lukaszewski arrives off 5 straight losses.

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Price verdict

No edge

The price already says it

Nothing we measure separates from the price on this match.

Measured with only what was known before each match, against 100/odds and the price taken before the first serve. It says where the price misses, not who wins.

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One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match WinnerForecastOur read against the price lives in the pick, below

No price history

Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsLukaszewski 1.95 / Mrugala 1.75

Round robin · match 10 of 10

9 of 10 played

OSP 2 · Czestochowa · Group 13 of 14 on the day's ladder

Nothing at stake for either player

Round robin before this match

#	Player	W–L	Sets	To play
1	Bartosz Kwodawski	4–0	12–0	0
2	Mariusz Zwolinski	2–2	8–9	0
3	Artur Szoltysek	2–2	7–9	0
4	Bartlomiej MrugalaThis match	1–2	4–7	1
5	Mikolaj LukaszewskiThis match	0–3	3–9	1

Rebuilt from the schedule and public results. Only matches that started earlier count.

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeLukaszewski5wins

AwayMrugala5wins

3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeLukaszewski83.3%5 of 6

AwayMrugala100%4 of 4

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Lukaszewski6Mrugala4n = 10Lukaszewski took 6 of 10

S2Lukaszewski6Mrugala4n = 10Lukaszewski took 6 of 10

S3Lukaszewski4Mrugala6n = 10Mrugala took 6 of 10

S4Lukaszewski4Mrugala4n = 8split evenly

S5Lukaszewski1Mrugala2n = 3Mrugala took 2 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home330%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricLukaszewskiMrugalaL − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.439.0−1.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricLukaszewskiMrugalaBasisWin rate · lifetime892 / 1967 vs 340 / 73845.4%46.1%892 / 1967 vs 340 / 738Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.537.5per match

TT Elite Series · #13287617

Lukaszewski1.95

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 5

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog40% won 248 of 616

Down 0–1, comes back13% 44 of 334

Down 0–2, comes back1% 2 of 185

Mrugala1.75

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite57% won 58 of 102

Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22

Up 1–0, closes it84% 38 of 45

Mikolaj Lukaszewski vs Bartlomiej Mrugala · TT Elite Series

Price verdict

Deep Dive by Market

Decision Summary

Round robin · match 10 of 10

Round robin before this match

Mikolaj Lukaszewski vs Bartlomiej Mrugala · TT Elite Series

Price verdict

Deep Dive by Market

Decision Summary

Round robin · match 10 of 10

Round robin before this match