Bartosz Kwodawski vs Mikolaj Lukaszewski 3-0

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesOSP 2 · Czestochowa

Played Oct 12Finished

Bartosz Kwodawski

Home

1.54

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Won last 2

Final

3 – 0

Set by set

1210118118––––

Mikolaj Lukaszewski

Away

2.25

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Lost last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:40 and never touched: 61.4% is still 61.4%

Graded at full time

Bartosz Kwodawski to win

61.4%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is going

Point-by-point unavailable

BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.

60 points played in total.

Set by set

1210118118––––

H2H Bartosz Kwodawski 5–0 Mikolaj Lukaszewski Mikolaj Lukaszewski has won 0 of their 5 meetings.

Last 5 · 5–0Same sideHead to head

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Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Kwodawski

Kwodawski 1.54/Lukaszewski 2.25

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

61.4%

Kwodawski · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–0

Kwodawski won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 21:40

61.4%Our read64.9%to break even at 1.54

short by 3.5pp

64.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.54 they are the same number)

What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.54 (59%)

Kwodawski

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

5-0 in 5

Kwodawski

Correct

gap of 5 in 5, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Kwodawski 1363 vs Lukaszewski 1278

Kwodawski

Correct

both rated, 84 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Kwodawski 80% vs Lukaszewski 40%

Kwodawski

Correct

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Kwodawski 80% vs Lukaszewski 60%

Kwodawski

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Kwodawski +2 · Lukaszewski -2

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 61% · Slight lean (leans Kwodawski) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Kwodawski: form 80%, the price implies 65%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKwodawski 1.54 / Lukaszewski 2.25

Signal prob.61% / 39%

Edge (Kwodawski)-3.5pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 5 meetings

HomeKwodawski5wins

AwayLukaszewski0wins

1 of 5 to a deciderKwodawski leads 5–0, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeKwodawski100%4 of 4

AwayLukaszewskin = 1, below the 3 needed

Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Kwodawski4Lukaszewski1n = 5Kwodawski took 4 of 5

S2Kwodawski4Lukaszewski1n = 5Kwodawski took 4 of 5

S3Kwodawski4Lukaszewski1n = 5Kwodawski took 4 of 5

Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home360%

3–1Four sets, home120%

3–2Decider, home120%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 5 meetings

MetricKwodawskiLukaszewskiK − LBasisWins50+5in 5 meetingsFirst set41+3of 5Avg pointsper match37.026.6+10.4per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricKwodawskiLukaszewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime192 / 445 vs 895 / 197443.2%45.3%192 / 445 vs 895 / 1974Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.536.5per match

TT Elite Series · #13279610

Kwodawski1.54

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 2

oldest → newest

80%takes the first set · 8 of 10

As favourite59% won 29 of 49

Up 2–0, closes it86% 18 of 21

Up 1–0, closes it83% 25 of 30

Lukaszewski2.25

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 3 days ago (Oct 10)

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog40% won 248 of 616

Down 0–1, comes back13% 44 of 334

Down 0–2, comes back1% 2 of 185

Bartosz Kwodawski vs Mikolaj Lukaszewski 3-0 · TT Elite Series

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Bartosz Kwodawski vs Mikolaj Lukaszewski 3-0 · TT Elite Series

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.