Jakub Zochniak vs Jacek Mitas 3-2

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesHSC 2 · Czestochowa

Played Oct 12Finished

Jakub Zochniak

Home

2.38

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Lost last 2

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

9111146111191311

Jacek Mitas

Away

1.53

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:13 and never touched: 60.9% is still 60.9%

Graded at full time

Jacek Mitas to win

60.9%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is going

Point-by-point unavailable

BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.

96 points played in total.

Set by set

9111146111191311

H2H Jakub Zochniak 3–0 Jacek Mitas Jacek Mitas has won 0 of their 3 meetings.

Last 3 · 3–0Same sideHead to head

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One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Mitas

Zochniak 2.38/Mitas 1.53

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

60.9%

Mitas · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Zochniak won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 14:13

60.9%Our read65.4%to break even at 1.53

short by 4.5pp

65.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.53 they are the same number)

What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.53 (61%)

Mitas

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

3-0 in 3

Zochniak

Correct

gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Zochniak 1624 vs Mitas 1634

Mitas

Wrong

both rated, 10 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Zochniak 60% vs Mitas 20%

Zochniak

Correct

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Zochniak 60% vs Mitas 30%

Zochniak

Correct

30pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Zochniak -2 · Mitas -1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 61% · Slight lean (leans Mitas) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Mitas: form 20%, the price implies 65%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsZochniak 2.38 / Mitas 1.53

Signal prob.39% / 61%

Edge (Mitas)-4.5pp (anti-value)

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 3 meetings

HomeZochniak3wins

AwayMitas0wins

1 of 3 to a deciderZochniak leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

Not enough first sets

Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.

Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Zochniak2Mitas1n = 3Zochniak took 2 of 3

S2Zochniak2Mitas1n = 3Zochniak took 2 of 3

S3Zochniak2Mitas1n = 3Zochniak took 2 of 3

S4Zochniak2Mitas1n = 3Zochniak took 2 of 3

Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home267%

3–2Decider, home133%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 3 meetings

MetricZochniakMitasZ − MBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match44.340.0+4.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricZochniakMitasBasisWin rate · lifetime1148 / 2197 vs 142 / 29652.3%48%1148 / 2197 vs 142 / 296Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.336.8per match

TT Elite Series · #13285107

Zochniak2.38

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog35% won 135 of 390

Down 0–1, comes back14% 32 of 225

Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 115

Mitas1.53

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite66% won 77 of 117

Up 2–0, closes it98% 40 of 41

Up 1–0, closes it85% 57 of 67

Jakub Zochniak vs Jacek Mitas 3-2 · TT Elite Series

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Match Winner

Decision Summary

Jakub Zochniak vs Jacek Mitas 3-2 · TT Elite Series

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.