Jakub Chojnacki vs Michal Lysakowski · pre-match analysis

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT Cup

Starts 11:30Scheduled

Jakub Chojnacki

Home

2.60

At publish

Lost last 3

4–6Last 10Lost last 3

Head to head

5 – 4

All 9 meetings · 55.6%

Last 9 · 5–4Same side

Michal Lysakowski

Away

1.41

At publish

Won last 1

7–3Last 10Won last 1

Jakub Chojnacki arrives off 3 straight losses.

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Price verdict

No edge

The price already says it

Nothing we measure separates from the price on this match.

Measured with only what was known before each match, against 100/odds and the price taken before the first serve. It says where the price misses, not who wins.

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One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match WinnerForecastOur read against the price lives in the pick, below

No price history

Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsChojnacki 2.60 / Lysakowski 1.41

Round robin · match 14 of 15

12 of 15 played

Poland 1 · Group 1 of 3 on the day's ladder

Round robin before this match

Earlier matches of this round robin are still to finish: the table moves as they do.

#	Player	W–L	Sets	To play
1	Szymon Radlo	3–1	10–5	1
2	Michal LysakowskiThis match	3–1	10–5	1
3	Sylwester Wloszek	3–1	9–6	1
4	Dawid Stapor	2–2	8–9	1
5	Jakub ChojnackiThis match	1–3	6–10	1
6	Jan Masternak	0–4	4–12	1

Rebuilt from the schedule and public results. Only matches that started earlier count.

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 9 meetings

HomeChojnacki5wins

AwayLysakowski4wins

2 of 9 to a deciderChojnacki leads 5–4, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeChojnacki83.3%5 of 6

AwayLysakowski100%3 of 3

Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Chojnacki6Lysakowski3n = 9Chojnacki took 6 of 9

S2Chojnacki3Lysakowski6n = 9Lysakowski took 6 of 9

S3Chojnacki5Lysakowski4n = 9Chojnacki took 5 of 9

S4Chojnacki5Lysakowski3n = 8Chojnacki took 5 of 8

Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home111%

3–1Four sets, home333%

3–2Decider, home111%

2–3Decider, away111%

1–3Four sets, away333%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 9 meetings

MetricChojnackiLysakowskiC − LBasisWins54+1in 9 meetingsFirst set63+3of 9Avg pointsper match39.840.4−0.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricChojnackiLysakowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime29 / 64 vs 665 / 133445.3%49.9%29 / 64 vs 665 / 1334Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.2per match

TT Cup · #13284312

Chojnacki2.60

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog40% won 19 of 48

Down 0–1, comes back14% 4 of 29

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 15

Lysakowski1.41

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite57% won 200 of 353

Up 2–0, closes it94% 124 of 132

Up 1–0, closes it77% 168 of 217

Jakub Chojnacki vs Michal Lysakowski · TT Cup

Price verdict

Deep Dive by Market

Decision Summary

Round robin · match 14 of 15

Round robin before this match

Jakub Chojnacki vs Michal Lysakowski · TT Cup

Price verdict

Deep Dive by Market

Decision Summary

Round robin · match 14 of 15

Round robin before this match