Michal Wolny vs Michal Machelski 3-2

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesBLW · Blachownia

Played Oct 12Finished

Michal Wolny

Home

1.81

At publish

Won last 3

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 3

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

115211911116116

Michal Machelski

Away

1.90

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:52 and never touched: 55.9% is still 55.9%

Graded at full time

Michal Wolny to win

55.9%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is going

Point-by-point unavailable

BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.

83 points played in total.

Set by set

115211911116116

H2H Michal Wolny 17–8 Michal Machelski Michal Machelski has won 8 of their 25 meetings.

Last 10 · 7–3Same sideHead to head

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Wolny

Wolny 1.81/Machelski 1.90

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

55.9%

Wolny · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Wolny won

The pickConfirm

Sealed 05:52

55.9%Our read55.2%to break even at 1.81

clears by 0.7pp

55.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.81 they are the same number)

What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.81 (51%)

Wolny

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

17-8 in 25

Wolny

Correct

gap of 9 in 25, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Wolny 1335 vs Machelski 1273

Wolny

Correct

both rated, 62 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Wolny 80% vs Machelski 80%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Wolny 60% vs Machelski 60%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Wolny +3 · Machelski +2

Wolny

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 2 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.

Signal confidence: 56% · Slight lean (leans Wolny) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Machelski: form 80%, the price implies 53%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsWolny 1.81 / Machelski 1.90

Signal prob.56% / 44%

Edge (Wolny)+0.7pp

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeWolny7wins

AwayMachelski3wins

3 of 10 to a deciderWolny leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeWolny71.4%5 of 7

AwayMachelski33.3%1 of 3

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Wolny7Machelski3n = 10Wolny took 7 of 10

S2Wolny5Machelski5n = 10split evenly

S3Wolny6Machelski4n = 10Wolny took 6 of 10

S4Wolny4Machelski3n = 7Wolny took 4 of 7

S5Wolny2Machelski1n = 3Wolny took 2 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home220%

3–1Four sets, home330%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricWolnyMachelskiW − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.735.4+5.3per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricWolnyMachelskiBasisWin rate · lifetime278 / 584 vs 393 / 106947.6%36.8%278 / 584 vs 393 / 1069Avg sets wonper match1.91.7per matchAvg pointsper match36.535.5per match

TT Elite Series · #13283112

Wolny1.81

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 3

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite70% won 61 of 87

Up 2–0, closes it97% 31 of 32

Up 1–0, closes it85% 49 of 58

Machelski1.90

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 2

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As underdog33% won 121 of 368

Down 0–1, comes back20% 42 of 213

Down 0–2, comes back4% 5 of 124

Michal Wolny vs Michal Machelski 3-2 · TT Elite Series

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Michal Wolny vs Michal Machelski 3-2 · TT Elite Series

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.