Mariusz Baron vs Grzegorz Sawicki 1-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesBLW · Blachownia

Played Oct 12Finished

Mariusz Baron

Home

1.52

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 1

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

91191112101214––

Grzegorz Sawicki

Away

2.37

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:09 and never touched: 59.6% is still 59.6%

Graded at full time

Mariusz Baron to win

59.6%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is going

Point-by-point unavailable

BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.

88 points played in total.

Set by set

91191112101214––

H2H Mariusz Baron 12–11 Grzegorz Sawicki Grzegorz Sawicki has won 11 of their 23 meetings.

Last 10 · 5–5Head to head

Deep Dive by Market

One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Baron

Baron 1.52/Sawicki 2.37

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

59.6%

Baron · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Sawicki won

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 01:09

59.6%Our read65.8%to break even at 1.52

short by 6.2pp

65.8% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.52 they are the same number)

What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.52 (61%)

Baron

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

12-11 in 23

—

Too close

gap of 1, under the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Baron 1273 vs Sawicki 1223

Baron

Wrong

both rated, 50 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Baron 80% vs Sawicki 20%

Baron

Wrong

60pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Baron 50% vs Sawicki 30%

Baron

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Baron -1 · Sawicki -1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 60% · Slight lean (leans Baron) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Sawicki: form 20%, the price implies 42%

Market vs Signals

Market oddsBaron 1.52 / Sawicki 2.37

Signal prob.60% / 40%

Edge (Baron)-6.2pp (anti-value)

Same-day rematch · 6h before this match

Baron beat Sawicki 3-1.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeBaron5wins

AwaySawicki5wins

5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeBaron62.5%5 of 8

AwaySawickin = 2, below the 3 needed

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Baron8Sawicki2n = 10Baron took 8 of 10

S2Baron6Sawicki4n = 10Baron took 6 of 10

S3Baron5Sawicki5n = 10split evenly

S4Baron4Sawicki3n = 7Baron took 4 of 7

S5Baron1Sawicki4n = 5Sawicki took 4 of 5

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home330%

3–1Four sets, home110%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away440%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricBaronSawickiB − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match40.938.7+2.2per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricBaronSawickiBasisWin rate · lifetime893 / 1873 vs 372 / 95547.7%39%893 / 1873 vs 372 / 955Avg sets wonper match2.11.7per matchAvg pointsper match39.936.7per match

TT Elite Series · #13282402

Baron1.52

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As favourite54% won 190 of 352

Up 2–0, closes it79% 84 of 106

Up 1–0, closes it66% 134 of 202

Sawicki2.37

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog34% won 131 of 385

Down 0–1, comes back20% 50 of 254

Down 0–2, comes back9% 15 of 165

Mariusz Baron vs Grzegorz Sawicki 1-3 · TT Elite Series

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Mariusz Baron vs Grzegorz Sawicki 1-3 · TT Elite Series

Deep Dive by Market

Match Winner

Decision Summary

Today's matches are already sealed.