Mateusz Sikon vs Grzegorz Sawicki · pre-match analysis

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesBLW · Blachownia

Starts 02:00Scheduled

Mateusz Sikon

Home

1.80

At publish

Lost last 1

5–5Last 10Lost last 1

Head to head

4 – 9

All 13 meetings · 30.8%

Last 10 · 4–6Same side

Grzegorz Sawicki

Away

1.90

At publish

Won last 1

4–6Last 10Won last 1

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Price verdict

No edge

The price already says it

Nothing we measure separates from the price on this match.

Measured with only what was known before each match, against 100/odds and the price taken before the first serve. It says where the price misses, not who wins.

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One tab per market

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match WinnerForecastOur read against the price lives in the pick, below

No price history

Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsSikon 1.80 / Sawicki 1.90

Same-day rematch · 10h before this match

Sikon beat Sawicki 3-1.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeSikon4wins

AwaySawicki6wins

3 of 10 to a deciderSawicki leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeSikon75%3 of 4

AwaySawicki83.3%5 of 6

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Sikon4Sawicki6n = 10Sawicki took 6 of 10

S2Sikon6Sawicki4n = 10Sikon took 6 of 10

S3Sikon3Sawicki7n = 10Sawicki took 7 of 10

S4Sikon5Sawicki4n = 9Sikon took 5 of 9

S5Sikon1Sawicki2n = 3Sawicki took 2 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home330%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away330%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricSikonSawickiSikon − SawickiBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.641.9−0.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricSikonSawickiBasisWin rate · lifetime210 / 513 vs 373 / 95640.9%39%210 / 513 vs 373 / 956Avg sets wonper match1.81.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.036.7per match

TT Elite Series · #13282587

Sikon1.80

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

20%takes the first set · 2 of 10

As favourite53% won 74 of 140

Up 2–0, closes it84% 26 of 31

Up 1–0, closes it74% 48 of 65

Sawicki1.90

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog34% won 131 of 385

Down 0–1, comes back20% 50 of 254

Down 0–2, comes back9% 15 of 165

Mateusz Sikon vs Grzegorz Sawicki · TT Elite Series

Price verdict

Deep Dive by Market

Decision Summary

Mateusz Sikon vs Grzegorz Sawicki · TT Elite Series

Price verdict

Deep Dive by Market

Decision Summary