TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Dawid Poloszczanski vs Dominik Solilo 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesOSP 2 · Czestochowa
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811711117711––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:23 and never touched: 78.3% is still 78.3%
Graded at full timeDominik Solilo to win
78.3%
78.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
73 points played in total.
Set by set
811711117711––
H2H Dawid Poloszczanski 0–2 Dominik Solilo Dawid Poloszczanski has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Solilo beat Poloszczanski 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:2378.3%Our read76.9%to break even at 1.30
clears by 1.4pp76.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.30 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (71%)
Solilo
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Poloszczanski 1191 vs Solilo 1489
Solilo
Correct
both rated, 297 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Poloszczanski 20% vs Solilo 60%
Solilo
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Poloszczanski 10% vs Solilo 50%
Solilo
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Poloszczanski -1 · Solilo +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% · Strong (leans Solilo) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Solilo form (60%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPoloszczanski 3.20 / Solilo 1.30
Signal prob.22% / 78%
Edge (Solilo)+1.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13276718
Poloszczanski3.20
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog35% won 108 of 306
Down 0–1, comes back20% 36 of 184
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 110
Solilo1.30
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 175 of 277
Up 2–0, closes it92% 89 of 97
Up 1–0, closes it79% 130 of 165
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomePoloszczanski0wins
AwaySolilo2wins
Solilo leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away2
These 2 meetings
MetricPoloszczanskiSoliloP − SBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match24.033.5−9.5per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPoloszczanskiSoliloBasisWin rate · lifetime363 / 902 vs 295 / 60440.2%48.8%363 / 902 vs 295 / 604Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SoliloPoloszczanski 3.20/Solilo 1.30
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
78.3%
Solilo · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Solilo won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LOct 10 · 15:25D. Poloszczanski249870D. Solilo331111113
LAug 15 · 07:40D. Poloszczanski2495100D. Solilo341111123
D. Poloszczanski10
WOct 10 · 21:55D. Poloszczanski2.451111113K. Klocek1.477990LOct 10 · 20:30M. Marchlewski1.121111113D. Poloszczanski5.284570WOct 10 · 19:20D. Poloszczanski2.2511911113D. Kotwica1.57811461LOct 10 · 18:10M. Kukawka1.3712113113D. Poloszczanski2.801091161LOct 10 · 16:55T. Filbrandt1.061113123D. Poloszczanski7.20911100LOct 10 · 15:25D. Solilo1.401111113D. Poloszczanski2.769870LOct 9 · 23:20A. Eliasz1.71411511113D. Poloszczanski2.0011611742LOct 9 · 22:35B. Warpas1.8781111113D. Poloszczanski1.84118791LOct 9 · 22:15D. Poloszczanski1.955121191M. Lukaszewski1.75111013113LOct 9 · 21:05M. Skorski1.801111113D. Poloszczanski1.916570
D. Solilo10
WOct 10 · 19:40D. Solilo1.6351111113M. Kukawka2.16114871LOct 10 · 18:30D. Solilo2.40411951T. Filbrandt1.5011911113WOct 10 · 17:20D. Solilo1.301211113D. Kotwica3.1510560LOct 10 · 16:15M. Marchlewski1.7511119113D. Solilo1.98561131WOct 10 · 15:25D. Solilo1.401111113D. Poloszczanski2.769870WOct 8 · 13:55D. Solilo2.15111110113J. Zochniak1.60871271LOct 8 · 12:40D. Solilo1.7710850K. Klocek1.951211113LOct 8 · 11:25D. Solilo1.7711611692B. Sulkowski1.95611711113LOct 8 · 10:10B. Czerwinski1.781211113D. Solilo1.9110860WOct 8 · 09:25D. Solilo1.801111113M. Minda1.866760
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