TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Adam Duch vs Krzysztof Zapala 2-3 · TT Cup
TT CupPoland 3 · Kielce
Played Oct 9Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
116191761112141315
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
124 points played in total.
Set by set
116191761112141315
H2H Adam Duch 55–33 Krzysztof Zapala Krzysztof Zapala has won 33 of their 88 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Duch beat Zapala 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zapala form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDuch 1.41 / Zapala 2.75
TT Cup · #13271894
Duch1.41
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 110 of 177
Up 2–0, closes it96% 69 of 72
Up 1–0, closes it77% 81 of 105
Zapala2.75
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 79 of 213
Down 0–1, comes back24% 25 of 106
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDuch7wins
AwayZapala3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderDuch leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDuch100%3 of 3
AwayZapala42.9%3 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Duch3Zapala7n = 10Zapala took 7 of 10
S2Duch9Zapala1n = 10Duch took 9 of 10
S3Duch6Zapala4n = 10Duch took 6 of 10
S4Duch5Zapala4n = 9Duch took 5 of 9
S5Duch2Zapala1n = 3Duch took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDuchZapalaD − ZBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match43.638.8+4.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDuchZapalaBasisWin rate · lifetime443 / 739 vs 354 / 78360%45.2%443 / 739 vs 354 / 783Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.939.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
DuchDuch 1.41/Zapala 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
2–3
Zapala won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 9 · 18:30A. Duch44111110123K. Zapala376912101
LOct 1 · 22:10A. Duch51911129102K. Zapala511171011123
WOct 1 · 16:00A. Duch331111113K. Zapala154830
WSep 13 · 07:05A. Duch44111210113K. Zapala398101291
LSep 12 · 18:05A. Duch375111291K. Zapala4211614113
WSep 11 · 22:00A. Duch4071111113K. Zapala32118581
LSep 11 · 17:30A. Duch376811121K. Zapala4111115143
WSep 10 · 16:30A. Duch50711116153K. Zapala48118511132
WSep 6 · 06:35A. Duch48141211113K. Zapala361610281
WSep 5 · 17:05A. Duch527111211113K. Zapala4711914852
A. Duch10
WOct 9 · 20:00A. Duch1.661111123K. Guzy2.1045100WOct 9 · 18:30A. Duch1.42111110123K. Zapala2.656912101LOct 9 · 17:00A. Duch1.601378101L. Buklat2.20111111123WOct 9 · 15:00A. Duch1.3611116113B. Gola2.80391191WOct 9 · 14:00A. Duch1.669101111113A. Veliiev2.1011124672WOct 8 · 22:40D. Bucko2.2551090A. Duch1.571112113WOct 8 · 20:30A. Duch1.8511119113A. Veliiev1.85681151LOct 8 · 18:30P. Odelski1.9111118113A. Duch1.80681181WOct 8 · 17:30A. Duch1.2911119113B. Gola3.28751191LOct 8 · 16:30D. Bucko2.15111111113A. Duch1.63981391
K. Zapala10
WOct 9 · 20:30K. Zapala—18119113A. Veliiev—1651191LOct 9 · 18:30A. Duch1.42111110123K. Zapala2.656912101WOct 9 · 17:30K. Zapala1.601113113B. Gola2.2031130WOct 9 · 16:30K. Guzy1.53118211102K. Zapala2.35411119123WOct 9 · 16:00K. Zapala—1011711173L. Buklat—128116152WOct 4 · 14:45M. Szymanski1.557790K. Zapala2.301111113WOct 4 · 12:05A. Veliiev2.52121114782K. Zapala1.471081611113WOct 4 · 11:05K. Zapala2.051111113D. Bucko1.685880LOct 4 · 10:05K. Zapala2.4010119121M. Szymanski1.5112811143WOct 4 · 08:35K. Zapala2.4013134113K. Guzy1.5011111181
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