TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Roman Wiza vs Tomasz Lojtek 3-2 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesPOC · Poczesna
Played Oct 9Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1311711117911117
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:25 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomasz Lojtek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
98 points played in total.
Set by set
1311711117911117
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:2554.0%Our read54.1%to break even at 1.85
short by 0.1pp54.1% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.85 they are the same number)
What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Wiza
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Wiza 1266 vs Lojtek 1265
Wiza
Correct
both rated, 1 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wiza 20% vs Lojtek 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wiza 30% vs Lojtek 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wiza +1 · Lojtek -4
Lojtek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Lojtek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lojtek form (20%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWiza 1.80 / Lojtek 1.85
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Lojtek)-0.1pp
TT Elite Series · #13271674
Wiza1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite59% won 98 of 166
Up 2–0, closes it92% 55 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it81% 76 of 94
Lojtek1.85
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog25% won 3 of 12
Down 0–1, comes back13% 1 of 8
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricWizaLojtekBasisWin rate · lifetime406 / 938 vs 10 / 2443.3%41.7%406 / 938 vs 10 / 24Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.335.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
LojtekWiza 1.80/Lojtek 1.85
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Lojtek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Wiza won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
R. Wiza10
WOct 9 · 23:05R. Wiza1.301111113J. Michalski3.103690WOct 9 · 20:20R. Wiza1.85111111113M. Adamus1.85991371LOct 9 · 18:45R. Wiza2.60118691R. Szymik1.4291111113LOct 9 · 17:30R. Wiza2.406129101J. Badura1.50111011123LOct 4 · 04:20R. Szymik1.461111113R. Wiza2.558550LOct 4 · 03:30M. Durda—1111113R. Wiza—6650LOct 4 · 02:45R. Wiza1.908860J. Badura1.801111113WOct 4 · 01:10R. Wiza2.101111113M. Sikon1.656650WOct 4 · 00:20G. Sawicki1.85139491R. Wiza1.80111111113LOct 3 · 23:05R. Wiza2.106970J. Badura1.661111113
T. Lojtek10
WOct 9 · 22:20R. Szymik1.558740T. Lojtek2.301111113LOct 9 · 20:45T. Lojtek1.3911311732J. Michalski2.80711911113LOct 9 · 19:10T. Lojtek2.35681231J. Badura1.54111110113LOct 9 · 18:20M. Adamus1.80135911113T. Lojtek1.90111111532LOct 3 · 08:20T. Lojtek1.8511311882P. Mecik1.80911411113WOct 3 · 06:45M. Koczyba1.80118761T. Lojtek1.9091111113LOct 3 · 06:00K. Adamus1.42111154123T. Lojtek2.60661111102LOct 3 · 05:10T. Lojtek1.82711121142W. Pytlas1.88115149113WOct 3 · 04:00T. Lojtek—1913113P. Polok—171150WSep 26 · 08:20P. Mecik1.83911541T. Lojtek1.8311311113
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