TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Oliver Vincenec vs Adam Ruszkiewicz 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 9Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
311411611––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:07 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOliver Vincenec to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
46 points played in total.
Set by set
311411611––––
H2H Oliver Vincenec 17–9 Adam Ruszkiewicz Adam Ruszkiewicz has won 9 of their 26 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:0754.0%Our read53.5%to break even at 1.87
clears by 0.5pp53.5% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.87 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (51%)
Ruszkiewicz
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
17-9 in 26
Vincenec
Wrong
gap of 8 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vincenec 1328 vs Ruszkiewicz 1359
Ruszkiewicz
Correct
both rated, 32 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vincenec 40% vs Ruszkiewicz 20%
Vincenec
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vincenec 60% vs Ruszkiewicz 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vincenec -1 · Ruszkiewicz +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Vincenec) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ruszkiewicz form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVincenec 1.87 / Ruszkiewicz 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vincenec)+0.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13267435
Vincenec1.87
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 190 of 468
Down 0–1, comes back24% 66 of 278
Down 0–2, comes back8% 11 of 140
Ruszkiewicz1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite56% won 60 of 107
Up 2–0, closes it92% 34 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it71% 52 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVincenec3wins
AwayRuszkiewicz7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderRuszkiewicz leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVincenec50%2 of 4
AwayRuszkiewicz83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vincenec4Ruszkiewicz6n = 10Ruszkiewicz took 6 of 10
S2Vincenec5Ruszkiewicz5n = 10split evenly
S3Vincenec6Ruszkiewicz4n = 10Vincenec took 6 of 10
S4Vincenec3Ruszkiewicz4n = 7Ruszkiewicz took 4 of 7
S5Vincenec1Ruszkiewicz4n = 5Ruszkiewicz took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVincenecRuszkiewiczV − RBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.341.2−1.9per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVincenecRuszkiewiczBasisWin rate · lifetime723 / 1579 vs 346 / 89245.8%38.8%723 / 1579 vs 346 / 892Avg sets wonper match1.91.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
VincenecVincenec 1.87/Ruszkiewicz 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Vincenec · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Ruszkiewicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 6 · 04:00O. Vincenec371111153A. Ruszkiewicz2236130
WSep 13 · 23:30O. Vincenec341111123A. Ruszkiewicz2468100
LSep 13 · 19:10O. Vincenec50116111392A. Ruszkiewicz559111311113
LSep 11 · 22:55O. Vincenec4274111192A. Ruszkiewicz47111177113
LSep 11 · 16:55O. Vincenec361081171A. Ruszkiewicz4312119113
LAug 18 · 04:25O. Vincenec197480A. Ruszkiewicz331111113
LAug 11 · 04:25O. Vincenec4411116792A. Ruszkiewicz51991111113
LJul 28 · 05:35O. Vincenec341111571A. Ruszkiewicz4313811113
WJul 7 · 06:45O. Vincenec44741111113A. Ruszkiewicz4111116672
LApr 15 · 17:10O. Vincenec53911131192A. Ruszkiewicz531171113113
O. Vincenec10
LOct 9 · 04:00O. Vincenec1.915450P. Kurek1.701111113WOct 9 · 02:45O. Vincenec1.951111113P. Kurek1.758840LOct 9 · 01:10O. Vincenec2.4591070K. Adamus1.471112113LOct 9 · 00:00O. Vincenec3.501071171M. Tkocz1.2512118113WOct 8 · 22:25O. Vincenec1.8011611113G. Jurowicz1.90911781WOct 8 · 21:10O. Vincenec1.52111110113R. Komandzik2.30781281WOct 7 · 14:40O. Vincenec1.61431311113P. Slosarczyk2.20111111882LOct 7 · 13:05O. Vincenec1.7381191142P. Przewlocki2.00117118113WOct 7 · 11:50O. Vincenec1.7311125113L. Oracz2.006101171WOct 7 · 10:10O. Vincenec2.20141110123K. Slawinski1.6112812101
A. Ruszkiewicz10
WOct 9 · 03:35M. Paszkiewicz1.808116131A. Ruszkiewicz1.9211811153LOct 7 · 20:20A. Ruszkiewicz1.986124121M. Baron1.75111011143LOct 7 · 18:45M. Koczyba1.52411115113A. Ruszkiewicz2.3011891162LOct 7 · 18:00T. Wrzalik1.80128911113A. Ruszkiewicz1.85101111792LOct 7 · 17:10A. Ruszkiewicz2.00881161W. Pytlas1.7011117113WOct 7 · 16:00A. Ruszkiewicz2.351111113S. Krupa1.539880WOct 6 · 08:00R. Skotniczny1.57511471A. Ruszkiewicz2.2011811113LOct 6 · 07:10J. Kaczmarek2.03417115143A. Ruszkiewicz1.711115811122WOct 6 · 06:25A. Ruszkiewicz1.411111113M. Cesarz2.608480WOct 6 · 04:50A. Ruszkiewicz1.83117116113R. Idaczyk1.8771181162
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