TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Piotr Krukar vs Michal Skorski 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711117911611––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:25 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Skorski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
73 points played in total.
Set by set
711117911611––
H2H Piotr Krukar 1–1 Michal Skorski Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:2554.0%Our read54.1%to break even at 1.85
short by 0.1pp54.1% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.85 they are the same number)
What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Krukar
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Krukar 1267 vs Skorski 1294
Skorski
Correct
both rated, 27 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krukar 80% vs Skorski 40%
Krukar
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krukar 60% vs Skorski 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Krukar +2 · Skorski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Skorski) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skorski form (40%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrukar 1.80 / Skorski 1.85
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Skorski)-0.1pp
TT Elite Series · #13265186
Krukar1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite49% won 18 of 37
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it75% 15 of 20
Skorski1.85
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 80 of 199
Down 0–1, comes back20% 23 of 115
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKrukar1wins
AwaySkorski1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricKrukarSkorskiK − SBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match46.535.0+11.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrukarSkorskiBasisWin rate · lifetime28 / 66 vs 733 / 151842.4%48.3%28 / 66 vs 733 / 1518Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.038.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SkorskiKrukar 1.80/Skorski 1.85
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Skorski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Skorski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 25 · 00:35P. Krukar4991191192M. Skorski41114114113
WSep 24 · 15:50P. Krukar44111111113M. Skorski29561351
P. Krukar10
WOct 8 · 15:50D. Poloszczanski1.8071110101P. Krukar1.8611812123WOct 8 · 00:10B. Mrugala2.06571191P. Krukar1.6011117113LOct 7 · 23:45P. Krukar2.4011116562A. Myszewski1.50671111113WOct 7 · 22:55P. Krukar1.571112113W. Suchecki2.2581060WOct 7 · 21:05P. Krukar2.1816811133M. Trela1.6214115111WOct 7 · 20:05W. Suchecki2.00541161P. Krukar1.7211118113WOct 7 · 19:20B. Mrugala1.8571214852P. Krukar1.8511101211113LOct 7 · 17:20M. Kowalczyk1.8811118133P. Krukar1.842511111LOct 7 · 16:35P. Strus2.00141110113P. Krukar1.701221251LOct 7 · 15:00M. Trela1.701111113P. Krukar2.003990
M. Skorski10
WOct 8 · 15:00M. Trela1.95116115112M. Skorski1.76911911133LOct 7 · 00:10M. Skorski1.7361171182K. Golaszewski1.98119115113WOct 6 · 23:20M. Skorski1.571111113J. Rolak2.257870LOct 6 · 21:55M. Skorski1.776811101B. Mrugala1.9511117123LOct 6 · 21:30M. Skorski2.53117871A. Myszewski1.4761111113WOct 6 · 20:30M. Skorski1.57111188113J. Rolak2.2097111132WOct 6 · 18:55M. Skorski2.401313113D. Szlubowski1.50111180LOct 6 · 17:45M. Skorski1.908101181B. Mrugala1.8011128113WOct 6 · 16:15M. Skorski2.3012168113A. Myszewski1.5510141151WOct 6 · 15:00M. Skorski1.6541111133K. Golaszewski2.051157111
Upcoming Matches
P. Krukar
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M. Skorski
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