TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Michal Skorski vs Kuba Golaszewski 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 6Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
4111151171311––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:58 and never touched: 55.2% is still 55.2%
Graded at full timeKuba Golaszewski to win
55.2%
55.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
73 points played in total.
Set by set
4111151171311––
H2H Michal Skorski 11–17 Kuba Golaszewski Michal Skorski has won 11 of their 28 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:5855.2%Our read48.8%to break even at 2.05
clears by 6.4pp48.8% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 2.05 they are the same number)
What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.65 (55%)
Skorski
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
11-17 in 28
Golaszewski
Wrong
gap of 6 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skorski 1269 vs Golaszewski 1219
Skorski
Correct
both rated, 50 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skorski 40% vs Golaszewski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skorski 30% vs Golaszewski 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Skorski -3 · Golaszewski +2
Skorski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% · Slight lean (leans Golaszewski) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skorski form (40%) is below what odds imply (61%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkorski 1.65 / Golaszewski 2.05
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Golaszewski)+6.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13247208
Skorski1.65
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Oct 03)
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 143 of 267
Up 2–0, closes it99% 67 of 68
Up 1–0, closes it77% 111 of 144
Golaszewski2.05
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 169 of 411
Down 0–1, comes back19% 40 of 216
Down 0–2, comes back4% 5 of 118
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkorski3wins
AwayGolaszewski7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderGolaszewski leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkorski100%3 of 3
AwayGolaszewski100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skorski3Golaszewski7n = 10Golaszewski took 7 of 10
S2Skorski5Golaszewski5n = 10split evenly
S3Skorski4Golaszewski6n = 10Golaszewski took 6 of 10
S4Skorski3Golaszewski5n = 8Golaszewski took 5 of 8
S5Skorski1Golaszewski2n = 3Golaszewski took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkorskiGolaszewskiS − GBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match40.342.5−2.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkorskiGolaszewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime727 / 1508 vs 423 / 100448.2%42.1%727 / 1508 vs 423 / 1004Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
GolaszewskiSkorski 1.65/Golaszewski 2.05
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.2%
Golaszewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Skorski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 18 · 20:30M. Skorski45111110133K. Golaszewski419912111
LSep 16 · 21:55M. Skorski4681281172K. Golaszewski511110118113
LAug 21 · 21:55M. Skorski50101112982K. Golaszewski491251011113
WAug 14 · 16:55M. Skorski3811511113K. Golaszewski34911681
LAug 13 · 22:35M. Skorski4210147111K. Golaszewski48121211133
LAug 7 · 22:15M. Skorski34910150K. Golaszewski401112173
LAug 7 · 15:25M. Skorski279990K. Golaszewski331111113
LJul 29 · 21:05M. Skorski339113101K. Golaszewski4211811123
WJul 29 · 18:55M. Skorski52118157113K. Golaszewski48711131162
LJul 8 · 23:45M. Skorski36991171K. Golaszewski3911116113
M. Skorski10
LOct 3 · 19:40A. Eliasz1.801111113M. Skorski1.853570LOct 3 · 18:55K. Sulkowski1.80121110113M. Skorski1.901091291LOct 3 · 18:10M. Skorski2.205780A. Mugowski1.601111113WOct 3 · 16:35M. Skorski1.801111113M. Trela1.869860WOct 3 · 15:50D. Poloszczanski2.05881161M. Skorski1.6611116113WOct 3 · 14:15M. Lukaszewski2.051451151M. Skorski1.7016119113LOct 3 · 13:25P. Maruszak1.75155914123M. Skorski1.9513111112102LOct 3 · 11:20T. Piotrowski1.621111123M. Skorski2.1541100LOct 3 · 10:30M. Sinicki1.801111118113M. Skorski1.9113671192LOct 3 · 09:00K. Makowski1.9591111113M. Skorski1.70119971
K. Golaszewski10
WOct 6 · 00:35J. Przewlocki1.859811151K. Golaszewski1.8511112173WOct 5 · 22:55K. Sulkowski1.65119111142K. Golaszewski2.05131188113LOct 5 · 22:15M. Kowalczyk1.43111111113K. Golaszewski2.65813571LOct 5 · 21:30B. Kwodawski1.551111113K. Golaszewski2.309650LOct 5 · 20:05K. Golaszewski2.3071190K. Sulkowski1.551113113WOct 5 · 18:30J. Przewlocki1.806101171K. Golaszewski1.9011127113LOct 5 · 17:45B. Kwodawski1.571111113K. Golaszewski2.204680WOct 5 · 16:55K. Golaszewski2.1011115123M. Kowalczyk1.6081113101LOct 5 · 15:50K. Golaszewski1.9311651162P. Strus1.78911115113LSep 18 · 20:30M. Skorski1.85111110133K. Golaszewski1.859912111
Upcoming Matches
M. Skorski
K. Golaszewski
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.