TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Dawid Poloszczanski vs Michal Skorski 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811811116611––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:49 and never touched: 55.7% is still 55.7%
Graded at full timeMichal Skorski to win
55.7%
55.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
72 points played in total.
Set by set
811811116611––
H2H Dawid Poloszczanski 3–4 Michal Skorski Dawid Poloszczanski has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:4955.7%Our read60.2%to break even at 1.66
short by 4.5pp60.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.66 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.66 (55%)
Skorski
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
3-4 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Poloszczanski 1248 vs Skorski 1283
Skorski
Correct
both rated, 34 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Poloszczanski 40% vs Skorski 20%
Poloszczanski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Poloszczanski 30% vs Skorski 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Poloszczanski -2 · Skorski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% · Slight lean (leans Skorski) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skorski form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPoloszczanski 2.05 / Skorski 1.66
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Skorski)-4.5pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13237750
Poloszczanski2.05
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 118 of 313
Down 0–1, comes back22% 40 of 186
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 110
Skorski1.66
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite53% won 144 of 270
Up 2–0, closes it99% 68 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it78% 112 of 144
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomePoloszczanski3wins
AwaySkorski4wins
2 of 7 to a deciderSkorski leads 4–3, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePoloszczanski75%3 of 4
AwaySkorski100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Poloszczanski4Skorski3n = 7Poloszczanski took 4 of 7
S2Poloszczanski3Skorski4n = 7Skorski took 4 of 7
S3Poloszczanski3Skorski4n = 7Skorski took 4 of 7
S4Poloszczanski2Skorski4n = 6Skorski took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricPoloszczanskiSkorskiP − SBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match40.942.4−1.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPoloszczanskiSkorskiBasisWin rate · lifetime354 / 870 vs 725 / 150340.7%48.2%354 / 870 vs 725 / 1503Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SkorskiPoloszczanski 2.05/Skorski 1.66
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.7%
Skorski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Skorski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 20 · 10:35D. Poloszczanski521110128113M. Skorski50812101192
LSep 20 · 03:25D. Poloszczanski47115147102M. Skorski548111211123
WAug 16 · 11:50D. Poloszczanski4111118113M. Skorski35791181
LJun 20 · 05:15D. Poloszczanski336116101M. Skorski4211811123
LDec 18 · 10:45D. Poloszczanski2899100M. Skorski341111123
WDec 17 · 12:20D. Poloszczanski4212118113M. Skorski361081171
LDec 5 · 23:35D. Poloszczanski4310811141M. Skorski4612117163
D. Poloszczanski10
LOct 3 · 08:10D. Poloszczanski1.9051191182P. Krukar1.82119117113LOct 3 · 06:30M. Lukaszewski1.8391111133D. Poloszczanski1.871196111WOct 3 · 05:40W. Suchecki2.0010101181D. Poloszczanski1.7112127113LOct 3 · 04:55D. Poloszczanski1.75118111182J. Rolak1.97811135113WOct 3 · 03:50D. Poloszczanski1.80891112123M. Zwolinski1.901111510102LOct 3 · 00:35J. Lamperski1.501111133D. Poloszczanski2.3578110LOct 2 · 22:55J. Glanowski1.5711114113D. Poloszczanski2.20771191LOct 2 · 22:15M. Trela1.85891111113D. Poloszczanski1.8511118692WOct 2 · 21:30K. Sulkowski1.8011611432D. Poloszczanski1.90611611113LOct 1 · 00:10K. Klocek1.801111133D. Poloszczanski1.9095110
M. Skorski10
WOct 3 · 16:35M. Skorski1.801111113M. Trela1.869860WOct 3 · 14:15M. Lukaszewski2.051451151M. Skorski1.7016119113LOct 3 · 13:25P. Maruszak1.75155914123M. Skorski1.9513111112102LOct 3 · 11:20T. Piotrowski1.621111123M. Skorski2.1541100LOct 3 · 10:30M. Sinicki1.801111118113M. Skorski1.9113671192LOct 3 · 09:00K. Makowski1.9591111113M. Skorski1.70119971WSep 30 · 00:10M. Skorski1.761112113J. Pruszkowski1.9691050WSep 29 · 23:20M. Skorski1.65111112113J. Rolak2.05691471LSep 29 · 21:55M. Skorski2.00115591B. Mrugala1.7081111113WSep 29 · 21:30M. Skorski1.70121178113K. Klocek2.00106111142
Upcoming Matches
D. Poloszczanski
M. Skorski
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