TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Dariusz Szlubowski vs Kuba Golaszewski 3-2 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 6Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
113811711117117
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:33 and never touched: 62.4% is still 62.4%
Graded at full timeDariusz Szlubowski to win
62.4%
62.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
87 points played in total.
Set by set
113811711117117
H2H Dariusz Szlubowski 9–4 Kuba Golaszewski Kuba Golaszewski has won 4 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:3362.4%Our read68.0%to break even at 1.47
short by 5.6pp68.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.47 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.47 (62%)
Szlubowski
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
9-4 in 13
Szlubowski
Correct
gap of 5 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Szlubowski 1351 vs Golaszewski 1209
Szlubowski
Correct
both rated, 142 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szlubowski 60% vs Golaszewski 40%
Szlubowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szlubowski 70% vs Golaszewski 40%
Szlubowski
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Szlubowski +1 · Golaszewski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% · Clear lean (leans Szlubowski) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzlubowski 1.47 / Golaszewski 2.40
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Szlubowski)-5.6pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13255038
Szlubowski1.47
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 94 of 150
Up 2–0, closes it90% 43 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it79% 60 of 76
Golaszewski2.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 169 of 411
Down 0–1, comes back19% 40 of 216
Down 0–2, comes back4% 5 of 118
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSzlubowski6wins
AwayGolaszewski4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSzlubowski leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzlubowski100%4 of 4
AwayGolaszewski66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szlubowski4Golaszewski6n = 10Golaszewski took 6 of 10
S2Szlubowski7Golaszewski3n = 10Szlubowski took 7 of 10
S3Szlubowski7Golaszewski3n = 10Szlubowski took 7 of 10
S4Szlubowski3Golaszewski3n = 6split evenly
S5Szlubowski2Golaszewski2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSzlubowskiGolaszewskiS − GBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.236.4+2.8per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzlubowskiGolaszewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime202 / 339 vs 423 / 100559.6%42.1%202 / 339 vs 423 / 1005Avg sets wonper match2.21.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.737.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SzlubowskiSzlubowski 1.47/Golaszewski 2.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.4%
Szlubowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Szlubowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 18 · 16:55D. Szlubowski3911611113K. Golaszewski26611451
WSep 15 · 16:35D. Szlubowski361411113K. Golaszewski2712690
WSep 8 · 18:55D. Szlubowski516111211113K. Golaszewski4511814662
LSep 4 · 16:55D. Szlubowski4391111482K. Golaszewski48119611113
LAug 20 · 16:35D. Szlubowski279990K. Golaszewski331111113
WJul 21 · 16:35D. Szlubowski341211113K. Golaszewski2610880
LJun 19 · 16:55D. Szlubowski4071111472K. Golaszewski49117911113
WMay 22 · 16:25D. Szlubowski49711911113K. Golaszewski4411611882
LMay 15 · 16:25D. Szlubowski367101181K. Golaszewski3811124113
WMay 1 · 20:40D. Szlubowski371311133K. Golaszewski28116110
D. Szlubowski10
WOct 6 · 15:50B. Mrugala2.50511471D. Szlubowski1.4411911113LOct 2 · 20:05D. Szlubowski2.405780J. Glanowski1.501111113LOct 2 · 18:30K. Klocek1.95117116113D. Szlubowski1.7551151182WOct 2 · 17:45M. Trela1.9511113992D. Szlubowski1.75811111113WOct 2 · 16:55D. Szlubowski1.671111123K. Sulkowski2.1046100WOct 2 · 15:50D. Szlubowski1.371111113P. Strus2.807670LSep 29 · 19:40K. Klocek1.85127119113D. Szlubowski1.85101171132WSep 29 · 18:55M. Skorski2.306780D. Szlubowski1.521111113WSep 29 · 18:10D. Szlubowski1.5091111113J. Rolak2.35111741WSep 29 · 16:35D. Szlubowski1.571111113J. Pruszkowski2.206650
K. Golaszewski10
LOct 6 · 15:00M. Skorski1.6541111133K. Golaszewski2.051157111WOct 6 · 00:35J. Przewlocki1.859811151K. Golaszewski1.8511112173WOct 5 · 22:55K. Sulkowski1.65119111142K. Golaszewski2.05131188113LOct 5 · 22:15M. Kowalczyk1.43111111113K. Golaszewski2.65813571LOct 5 · 21:30B. Kwodawski1.551111113K. Golaszewski2.309650LOct 5 · 20:05K. Golaszewski2.3071190K. Sulkowski1.551113113WOct 5 · 18:30J. Przewlocki1.806101171K. Golaszewski1.9011127113LOct 5 · 17:45B. Kwodawski1.571111113K. Golaszewski2.204680WOct 5 · 16:55K. Golaszewski2.1011115123M. Kowalczyk1.6081113101LOct 5 · 15:50K. Golaszewski1.9311651162P. Strus1.78911115113
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