TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Oskar Sokolowski vs Krzysztof Hetnar 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1171214711711––
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:30 and never touched: 77.8% is still 77.8%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Hetnar to win
77.8%
77.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
80 points played in total.
Set by set
1171214711711––
H2H Oskar Sokolowski 1–3 Krzysztof Hetnar Oskar Sokolowski has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:3077.8%Our read78.7%to break even at 1.27
short by 0.9pp78.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.27 they are the same number)
What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.27 (72%)
Hetnar
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Hetnar
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sokolowski 1218 vs Hetnar 1470
Hetnar
Correct
both rated, 253 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sokolowski 40% vs Hetnar 80%
Hetnar
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sokolowski 40% vs Hetnar 80%
Hetnar
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sokolowski -1 · Hetnar +3
Hetnar
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% · Strong (leans Hetnar) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSokolowski 3.30 / Hetnar 1.27
Signal prob.22% / 78%
Edge (Hetnar)-0.9pp
TT Elite Series · #13263233
Sokolowski3.30
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog30% won 85 of 283
Down 0–1, comes back15% 26 of 176
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 102
Hetnar1.27
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite68% won 281 of 411
Up 2–0, closes it98% 155 of 158
Up 1–0, closes it85% 224 of 264
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeSokolowski1wins
AwayHetnar3wins
1 of 4 to a deciderHetnar leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSokolowski33.3%1 of 3
AwayHetnarn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sokolowski3Hetnar1n = 4Sokolowski took 3 of 4
S2Sokolowski0Hetnar4n = 4Hetnar took 4 of 4
S3Sokolowski0Hetnar4n = 4Hetnar took 4 of 4
S4Sokolowski1Hetnar2n = 3Hetnar took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away250%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricSokolowskiHetnarS − HBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match33.042.2−9.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSokolowskiHetnarBasisWin rate · lifetime142 / 430 vs 716 / 115233%62.2%142 / 430 vs 716 / 1152Avg sets wonper match1.72.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.238.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
HetnarSokolowski 3.30/Hetnar 1.27
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.8%
Hetnar · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hetnar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LOct 8 · 07:35O. Sokolowski371112771K. Hetnar4371411113
WJun 15 · 09:50O. Sokolowski43133412113K. Hetnar501111111072
LJun 15 · 05:40O. Sokolowski351110771K. Hetnar4391211113
LJan 24 · 07:25O. Sokolowski174850K. Hetnar331111113
O. Sokolowski10
LOct 8 · 06:25A. Burkacki1.7711711113O. Sokolowski1.95511681WOct 8 · 05:10P. Kurek1.97911751O. Sokolowski1.7611911113LOct 8 · 03:35P. Gumulinski1.401110911113O. Sokolowski2.7561211682LOct 7 · 16:40R. Niemiec1.321211123O. Sokolowski3.00109100WOct 7 · 15:55O. Sokolowski1.7791190O. Sokolowski1.951113113LOct 7 · 13:55K. Adamus1.391111113O. Sokolowski2.809560WOct 7 · 13:10R. Gajda1.601211911102O. Sokolowski2.15145119123LOct 7 · 11:30W. Urban1.521411113O. Sokolowski2.3712580LOct 7 · 10:40R. Niemiec1.387111011113O. Sokolowski2.8511512892WOct 7 · 09:55O. Sokolowski1.7281111782O. Sokolowski2.00117611113
K. Hetnar10
WOct 8 · 05:35P. Gumulinski2.1312460K. Hetnar1.561411113WOct 8 · 04:50A. Burkacki3.50212761K. Hetnar1.27111011113WOct 8 · 03:10M. Cesarz5.803280K. Hetnar1.101111113LOct 6 · 16:40B. Madej1.93121175113K. Hetnar1.78109111172WOct 6 · 15:55M. Jozefiak2.503390K. Hetnar1.451111113WOct 6 · 13:55S. Juzek3.804990K. Hetnar1.241111113LOct 6 · 13:10K. Smolka2.25111110123K. Hetnar1.553412101WOct 6 · 11:30M. Rus3.5291260K. Hetnar1.261114113WOct 6 · 10:40B. Madej3.20119341K. Hetnar1.3081111113WOct 6 · 09:55M. Jozefiak2.006750K. Hetnar1.701111113
Upcoming Matches
O. Sokolowski
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K. Hetnar
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