TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Bartlomiej Mrugala vs Mateusz Trela · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Starts 23:20Scheduled
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Head to head
10 – 6
All 16 meetings · 62.5%
Last 10 · 5–5
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Mrugala beat Trela 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMrugala 2.20 / Trela 1.60
TT Elite Series · #13262069
Mrugala2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 99 of 227
Down 0–1, comes back21% 25 of 119
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 61
Trela1.60
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite57% won 136 of 238
Up 2–0, closes it94% 58 of 62
Up 1–0, closes it75% 94 of 125
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMrugala5wins
AwayTrela5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMrugala71.4%5 of 7
AwayTrela100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mrugala7Trela3n = 10Mrugala took 7 of 10
S2Mrugala6Trela4n = 10Mrugala took 6 of 10
S3Mrugala2Trela8n = 10Trela took 8 of 10
S4Mrugala3Trela5n = 8Trela took 5 of 8
S5Mrugala2Trela1n = 3Mrugala took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMrugalaTrelaM − TBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.841.4+0.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMrugalaTrelaBasisWin rate · lifetime336 / 728 vs 806 / 165246.2%48.8%336 / 728 vs 806 / 1652Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up
No price history
Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 7 · 20:30B. Mrugala54111121113M. Trela40672341
LSep 28 · 21:55B. Mrugala431118681M. Trela5192011113
WSep 28 · 17:45B. Mrugala351112123M. Trela25510100
LSep 17 · 23:45B. Mrugala321121091M. Trela3731112113
LSep 17 · 16:35B. Mrugala37891191M. Trela3711114113
WSep 16 · 22:15B. Mrugala4011117113M. Trela35691191
WSep 16 · 17:45B. Mrugala531111812113M. Trela4997111482
WSep 8 · 00:10B. Mrugala50111179123M. Trela46681111102
LSep 7 · 15:25B. Mrugala206590M. Trela331111113
LMay 14 · 13:00B. Mrugala5481282062M. Trela6111101118113
B. Mrugala10
WOct 7 · 21:55B. Mrugala2.53411137133A. Myszewski1.461191111112WOct 7 · 21:30B. Mrugala1.94811118123W. Suchecki1.78116911102WOct 7 · 20:30M. Trela1.82672341B. Mrugala1.88111121113LOct 7 · 19:20B. Mrugala1.8571214852P. Krukar1.8511101211113LOct 7 · 18:10P. Strus1.80111011113B. Mrugala1.90312671LOct 7 · 16:55W. Suchecki2.10911614113B. Mrugala1.65117111282LOct 7 · 15:25M. Kowalczyk2.0011119113B. Mrugala1.71831161WOct 7 · 00:35B. Mrugala1.9011311113A. Myszewski1.81811771WOct 6 · 23:45K. Golaszewski2.30111012252B. Mrugala1.557121011113LOct 6 · 22:35B. Mrugala1.7210960J. Rolak2.001211113
M. Trela10
LOct 7 · 22:35A. Myszewski1.801112113M. Trela1.9071070LOct 7 · 21:05P. Krukar2.1816811133M. Trela1.6214115111LOct 7 · 20:30M. Trela1.82672341B. Mrugala1.88111121113LOct 7 · 18:55M. Trela1.47921131P. Strus2.5011119113WOct 7 · 17:45M. Trela1.5781111143W. Suchecki2.201168121LOct 7 · 16:15M. Trela1.688540M. Kowalczyk2.051111113WOct 7 · 15:00M. Trela1.701111113P. Krukar2.003990LOct 5 · 23:20A. Linek1.5011128113M. Trela2.508101181LOct 5 · 22:35K. Staszczyk1.2011911143M. Trela4.336114121LOct 5 · 22:10M. Trela2.638640A. Gromek1.441111113
Upcoming Matches
B. Mrugala
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M. Trela
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