TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Jerzy Michalik vs Henryk Tkaczyk · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Starts 22:55Scheduled
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Head to head
30 – 64
All 94 meetings · 31.9%
Last 10 · 3–7Same side
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Both players are 7–3 over their last ten. The difference is the direction: Jerzy Michalik arrives off a win, Henryk Tkaczyk off a loss, and the streak is one of the signals the engine reads.
Compare playersSame-day rematch · 6h before this match
Michalik beat Tkaczyk 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMichalik 2.75 / Tkaczyk 1.40
TT Elite Series · #13258722
Michalik2.75
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog35% won 115 of 327
Down 0–1, comes back17% 31 of 184
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 112
Tkaczyk1.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite70% won 419 of 603
Up 2–0, closes it93% 234 of 251
Up 1–0, closes it85% 321 of 377
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMichalik3wins
AwayTkaczyk7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderTkaczyk leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMichalikn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayTkaczyk87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Michalik2Tkaczyk8n = 10Tkaczyk took 8 of 10
S2Michalik7Tkaczyk3n = 10Michalik took 7 of 10
S3Michalik4Tkaczyk6n = 10Tkaczyk took 6 of 10
S4Michalik3Tkaczyk3n = 6split evenly
S5Michalik1Tkaczyk3n = 4Tkaczyk took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMichalikTkaczykM − TBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match36.841.1−4.3per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMichalikTkaczykBasisWin rate · lifetime576 / 1214 vs 1033 / 151947.5%68%576 / 1214 vs 1033 / 1519Avg sets wonper match1.92.4per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up
No price history
Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 7 · 16:55J. Michalik331111113H. Tkaczyk198470
LSep 21 · 07:30J. Michalik41919671H. Tkaczyk50111711113
LSep 18 · 03:30J. Michalik36812971H. Tkaczyk43111011113
WSep 11 · 04:20J. Michalik331111113H. Tkaczyk258980
LSep 10 · 18:45J. Michalik4381111582H. Tkaczyk49118811113
LSep 8 · 22:20J. Michalik187650H. Tkaczyk331111113
LSep 4 · 02:35J. Michalik178360H. Tkaczyk331111113
WSep 3 · 18:10J. Michalik49811613113H. Tkaczyk50118111192
LSep 1 · 00:10J. Michalik4981461562H. Tkaczyk5811121113113
LAug 12 · 00:45J. Michalik49981111102H. Tkaczyk51111198123
J. Michalik10
WOct 7 · 20:05J. Michalik1.73911118123A. Krezel2.00116911102WOct 7 · 18:30M. Lewczuk1.914910J. Michalik1.801111113LOct 7 · 17:45J. Zelezik1.531111113J. Michalik2.386680WOct 7 · 16:55J. Michalik2.631111113H. Tkaczyk1.448470LOct 7 · 15:50J. Michalik2.20109100Z. Nocun1.611211123LOct 6 · 02:20J. Michalik2.1061060A. Kubiak1.661112113WOct 6 · 00:45J. Cyndera1.71561181J. Michalik2.0011116113WOct 6 · 00:00M. Machelski2.951112891J. Michalik1.36131011113WOct 5 · 23:10J. Michalik1.4611611133A. Staniczek2.502116111WOct 5 · 22:00J. Michalik1.701111113A. Zmijewski2.007980
H. Tkaczyk10
LOct 7 · 20:30J. Zelezik2.251111113H. Tkaczyk1.576680WOct 7 · 19:20H. Tkaczyk1.501111811123A. Krezel2.50139119102WOct 7 · 18:10Z. Nocun2.1067111122H. Tkaczyk1.67111175113LOct 7 · 16:55J. Michalik2.631111113H. Tkaczyk1.448470WOct 7 · 15:25M. Lewczuk2.63128651H. Tkaczyk1.44101111113WOct 7 · 05:10H. Tkaczyk—113711113M. Zielinski—91111542WOct 7 · 03:50H. Tkaczyk—161111123M. Brunner—1878101LOct 7 · 02:45H. Tkaczyk—111191192D. Bartosik—137114113WOct 7 · 00:45H. Tkaczyk—6111111113M. Machelski—11137552WOct 6 · 23:30H. Tkaczyk—11129113A. Fomin—6101161
Upcoming Matches
J. Michalik
Oct 7 · 21:45J. Michalik2.38J. Zelezik1.53—Oct 7 · 23:45J. Michalik2.38Z. Nocun1.53—Oct 8 · 00:35J. Michalik1.80M. Lewczuk1.91—Oct 8 · 02:10J. Michalik1.73A. Krezel2.00—Oct 8 · 17:30J. Michalik—M. Wolny——Oct 8 · 18:45J. Michalik—A. Krezel——Oct 8 · 20:20J. Michalik—M. Machelski——Oct 8 · 21:30J. Michalik—D. Molenda——Oct 8 · 23:05J. Michalik—J. Zelezik——
H. Tkaczyk
Oct 7 · 21:20H. Tkaczyk1.53M. Lewczuk2.38—Oct 8 · 00:10H. Tkaczyk1.57J. Zelezik2.25—Oct 8 · 01:25H. Tkaczyk1.50A. Krezel2.50—Oct 8 · 02:35H. Tkaczyk1.67Z. Nocun2.10—Oct 8 · 15:25H. Tkaczyk—A. Skupinski——Oct 8 · 16:55H. Tkaczyk—A. Kubiak——Oct 8 · 18:10H. Tkaczyk—P. Gesiarz——Oct 8 · 19:20H. Tkaczyk—Z. Nocun——Oct 8 · 20:30H. Tkaczyk—A. Zmijewski——Oct 8 · 21:20H. Tkaczyk—A. Skupinski——
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