TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Miroslav Kliment vs Martin Lorenc 2-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 7Finished
Miroslav Kliment
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
9111191012119611
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:04 and never touched: 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeMartin Lorenc to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingMiroslav Kliment above · Martin Lorenc below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 99 set 5, 6-11 · our read held Martin Lorenc at 62.5%
99 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:0462.5%Our read66.7%to break even at 1.50
short by 4.2pp66.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.50 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Lorenc
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Kliment 1220 vs Lorenc 1448
Lorenc
Correct
both rated, 228 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kliment 0% vs Lorenc 40%
Lorenc
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kliment 10% vs Lorenc 60%
Lorenc
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kliment -5 · Lorenc -2
Kliment
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% · Clear lean (leans Lorenc) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lorenc form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKliment 2.50 / Lorenc 1.50
Signal prob.38% / 63%
Edge (Lorenc)-4.2pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13257004
Kliment2.50
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog20% won 3 of 15
Down 0–1, comes back20% 1 of 5
Lorenc1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite51% won 27 of 53
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it65% 15 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKlimentLorencBasisWin rate · lifetime3 / 16 vs 74 / 16118.8%46%3 / 16 vs 74 / 161Avg sets wonper match1.71.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
LorencKliment 2.50/Lorenc 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Lorenc · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Lorenc won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Kliment10
WOct 7 · 12:40M. Lorenc1.28641191M. Kliment3.5011116113WOct 7 · 12:10J. Sindler1.2546100M. Kliment3.751111123LOct 7 · 09:40A. Drozd1.251351211113M. Kliment3.75111114972LSep 29 · 12:45J. Sindler1.4061111113M. Kliment2.75118631LSep 29 · 11:45A. Drozd1.40691111113M. Kliment2.7511118382LSep 29 · 11:15O. Vaclahovsky1.7391111113M. Kliment2.00113911LSep 29 · 10:15M. Kliment2.00711661J. Sindler1.7311911113WSep 21 · 12:38P. Jokiel1.25129118112M. Kliment3.751011911133LSep 21 · 12:10M. Kliment3.40391161P. Jokiel1.3011117113LSep 21 · 10:40O. Skvor1.53911711113M. Kliment2.3811711882
M. Lorenc10
LOct 7 · 12:40M. Lorenc1.28641191M. Kliment3.5011116113LOct 7 · 11:40A. Drozd1.91911118113M. Lorenc1.8011871152LOct 7 · 10:10M. Lorenc1.5311911982J. Sindler2.38911411113LOct 4 · 13:15O. Skvor1.831381111113M. Lorenc1.83111181372WOct 4 · 12:10M. Lorenc1.7381111113J. Sindler2.00118671WOct 4 · 10:40O. Skvor1.83771281M. Lorenc1.83111110113LOct 4 · 10:10V. Molin2.1081111113M. Lorenc1.65117391LSep 29 · 17:13M. Lorenc1.61410190J. Sindler2.201112213WSep 29 · 16:10J. Sindler2.00812951M. Lorenc1.73111011113WSep 29 · 15:10M. Lorenc1.73611511113O. Skvor2.0011711682
Upcoming Matches
M. Kliment
Nothing scheduled
M. Lorenc
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