TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Tomas Zahradnik vs Ondrej Cmerda 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 6Finished
Tomas Zahradnik
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
511115811113811
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingTomas Zahradnik above · Ondrej Cmerda below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-3
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 84 set 5, 8-11
84 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Zahradnik 13–14 Ondrej Cmerda Tomas Zahradnik has won 13 of their 27 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Zahradnik beat Cmerda 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cmerda form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZahradnik 1.533 / Cmerda 2.375
Czech Liga Pro · #13256320
Zahradnik1.53
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite73% won 16 of 22
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it100% 8 of 8
Cmerda2.38
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog36% won 8 of 22
Down 0–1, comes back15% 2 of 13
Down 0–2, comes back11% 1 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZahradnik3wins
AwayCmerda7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderCmerda leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZahradnik33.3%2 of 6
AwayCmerda75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zahradnik6Cmerda4n = 10Zahradnik took 6 of 10
S2Zahradnik4Cmerda6n = 10Cmerda took 6 of 10
S3Zahradnik7Cmerda3n = 10Zahradnik took 7 of 10
S4Zahradnik2Cmerda7n = 9Cmerda took 7 of 9
S5Zahradnik1Cmerda4n = 5Cmerda took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZahradnikCmerdaZ − CBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.442.4−2.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZahradnikCmerdaBasisWin rate · lifetime91 / 191 vs 168 / 33547.6%50.2%91 / 191 vs 168 / 335Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.039.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
ZahradnikZahradnik 1.53/Cmerda 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
2–3
Cmerda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 6 · 18:00T. Zahradnik331111113O. Cmerda207760
LJan 6 · 22:30T. Zahradnik4711118892O. Cmerda48691111113
LJan 6 · 20:00T. Zahradnik4812681392O. Cmerda5410111111113
LNov 18 · 19:30T. Zahradnik29191181O. Cmerda4211119113
WNov 12 · 19:00T. Zahradnik44118113113O. Cmerda4571181182
LNov 5 · 19:00T. Zahradnik31371291O. Cmerda43111110113
LOct 29 · 20:00T. Zahradnik45101111672O. Cmerda51129811113
LOct 20 · 19:00T. Zahradnik4211811572O. Cmerda47711711113
WOct 15 · 19:30T. Zahradnik45111112113O. Cmerda321331061
LOct 7 · 20:30T. Zahradnik401181291O. Cmerda4261114113
T. Zahradnik10
LOct 6 · 20:30T. Zahradnik2.005660R. Wagner1.731111113LOct 6 · 19:00T. Zahradnik1.73712381J. Tazler2.00111011113WOct 6 · 18:00O. Cmerda1.807760T. Zahradnik1.911111113LJul 10 · 21:00V. Nohejl1.575121111113T. Zahradnik2.2511148882LJul 10 · 20:30R. Urbaniec1.44111110113T. Zahradnik2.63371251LJul 10 · 19:30T. Zahradnik2.5081171442V. Nohejl1.501161112113LJul 10 · 18:30M. Huk1.50121113123T. Zahradnik2.5010815101LJul 7 · 20:58V. Vejvoda1.571113113T. Zahradnik2.2581120WJul 7 · 20:00V. Vejvoda1.571212139102T. Zahradnik2.2514101111123LJul 7 · 19:00O. Svacha1.67141011113T. Zahradnik2.101212871
O. Cmerda10
LOct 6 · 20:00O. Cmerda2.008770J. Tazler1.731111113LOct 6 · 19:30R. Wagner1.731111113O. Cmerda2.007350LOct 6 · 18:00O. Cmerda1.807760T. Zahradnik1.911111113WOct 4 · 20:59O. Cmerda1.9112118113T. Franek1.801081151LOct 4 · 20:30V. Vejvoda2.6311711153O. Cmerda1.448115131WOct 4 · 19:30O. Cmerda2.101112133T. Franek1.67910110LOct 4 · 18:30M. Skakal1.83111111113O. Cmerda1.83133431LSep 30 · 20:59O. Svacha1.80111210113O. Cmerda1.917101291LSep 30 · 20:30O. Svacha1.831111128113O. Cmerda1.8349141182LSep 30 · 19:30O. Cmerda1.80611681R. Rose1.9111511113
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