TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Michal Skorski vs Dariusz Szlubowski 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 6Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
13111311118––––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:44 and never touched: 63.9% is still 63.9%
Graded at full timeDariusz Szlubowski to win
63.9%
63.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
67 points played in total.
Set by set
13111311118––––
H2H Michal Skorski 6–17 Dariusz Szlubowski Michal Skorski has won 6 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:4463.9%Our read66.7%to break even at 1.50
short by 2.8pp66.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.50 they are the same number)
What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (62%)
Szlubowski
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
6-17 in 23
Szlubowski
Wrong
gap of 11 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skorski 1281 vs Szlubowski 1365
Szlubowski
Wrong
both rated, 84 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skorski 40% vs Szlubowski 60%
Szlubowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skorski 50% vs Szlubowski 70%
Szlubowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skorski -1 · Szlubowski +3
Szlubowski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% · Clear lean (leans Szlubowski) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkorski 2.40 / Szlubowski 1.50
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Szlubowski)-2.8pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13255642
Skorski2.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 80 of 200
Down 0–1, comes back21% 25 of 119
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 55
Szlubowski1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 94 of 150
Up 2–0, closes it90% 43 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it79% 60 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkorski2wins
AwaySzlubowski8wins
1 of 10 to a deciderSzlubowski leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkorski50%2 of 4
AwaySzlubowski100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skorski4Szlubowski6n = 10Szlubowski took 6 of 10
S2Skorski3Szlubowski7n = 10Szlubowski took 7 of 10
S3Skorski3Szlubowski7n = 10Szlubowski took 7 of 10
S4Skorski2Szlubowski4n = 6Szlubowski took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkorskiSzlubowskiSkorski − SzlubowskiBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match31.638.2−6.6per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkorskiSzlubowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime729 / 1511 vs 204 / 34148.3%59.8%729 / 1511 vs 204 / 341Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.839.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SzlubowskiSkorski 2.40/Szlubowski 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.9%
Szlubowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Skorski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 29 · 18:55M. Skorski216780D. Szlubowski331111113
LSep 22 · 16:40M. Skorski388811111D. Szlubowski4211117133
WSep 18 · 17:45M. Skorski361411113D. Szlubowski2712870
WAug 13 · 18:55M. Skorski4111117123D. Szlubowski388911101
LJul 16 · 18:55M. Skorski206860D. Szlubowski331111113
LFeb 27 · 20:30M. Skorski358111061D. Szlubowski4211812113
LNov 7 · 20:05M. Skorski4011561172D. Szlubowski48611119113
LOct 31 · 22:35M. Skorski381196121D. Szlubowski4261111143
LOct 24 · 20:40M. Skorski2138100D. Szlubowski341111123
LSep 26 · 17:05M. Skorski26541251D. Szlubowski43111110113
M. Skorski10
LOct 6 · 17:45M. Skorski1.908101181B. Mrugala1.8011128113WOct 6 · 16:15M. Skorski2.3012168113A. Myszewski1.5510141151WOct 6 · 15:00M. Skorski1.6541111133K. Golaszewski2.051157111LOct 3 · 19:40A. Eliasz1.801111113M. Skorski1.853570LOct 3 · 18:55K. Sulkowski1.80121110113M. Skorski1.901091291LOct 3 · 18:10M. Skorski2.205780A. Mugowski1.601111113WOct 3 · 16:35M. Skorski1.801111113M. Trela1.869860WOct 3 · 15:50D. Poloszczanski2.05881161M. Skorski1.6611116113WOct 3 · 14:15M. Lukaszewski2.051451151M. Skorski1.7016119113LOct 3 · 13:25P. Maruszak1.75155914123M. Skorski1.9513111112102
D. Szlubowski10
WOct 6 · 18:10D. Szlubowski1.4191111113J. Rolak2.60117741WOct 6 · 16:35D. Szlubowski1.47118711113K. Golaszewski2.4031111772WOct 6 · 15:50B. Mrugala2.50511471D. Szlubowski1.4411911113LOct 2 · 20:05D. Szlubowski2.405780J. Glanowski1.501111113LOct 2 · 18:30K. Klocek1.95117116113D. Szlubowski1.7551151182WOct 2 · 17:45M. Trela1.9511113992D. Szlubowski1.75811111113WOct 2 · 16:55D. Szlubowski1.671111123K. Sulkowski2.1046100WOct 2 · 15:50D. Szlubowski1.371111113P. Strus2.807670LSep 29 · 19:40K. Klocek1.85127119113D. Szlubowski1.85101171132WSep 29 · 18:55M. Skorski2.306780D. Szlubowski1.521111113
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