TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Daniel Hyza vs Marek Kulisek 3-0 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 6Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116116119––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:35 and never touched: 63.3% is still 63.3%
Graded at full timeDaniel Hyza to win
63.3%
63.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingDaniel Hyza above · Marek Kulisek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 54 set 3, 11-9 · our read held Daniel Hyza at 63.3%
54 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Hyza 55–19 Marek Kulisek Marek Kulisek has won 19 of their 74 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:3563.3%Our read69.3%to break even at 1.444
short by 6.0pp69.3% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.444 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Hyza
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
55-19 in 74
Hyza
Correct
gap of 36 in 74, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hyza 1586 vs Kulisek 1648
Kulisek
Wrong
both rated, 63 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hyza 20% vs Kulisek 60%
Kulisek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hyza 30% vs Kulisek 60%
Kulisek
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hyza -1 · Kulisek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% · Clear lean (leans Hyza) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kulisek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHyza 1.444 / Kulisek 2.625
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Hyza)-6.0pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13253462
Hyza1.44
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite62% won 69 of 111
Up 2–0, closes it92% 33 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it83% 52 of 63
Kulisek2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog38% won 103 of 269
Down 0–1, comes back25% 39 of 157
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 88
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHyza9wins
AwayKulisek1wins
3 of 10 to a deciderHyza leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHyza88.9%8 of 9
AwayKulisekn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hyza9Kulisek1n = 10Hyza took 9 of 10
S2Hyza7Kulisek3n = 10Hyza took 7 of 10
S3Hyza6Kulisek4n = 10Hyza took 6 of 10
S4Hyza5Kulisek2n = 7Hyza took 5 of 7
S5Hyza2Kulisek1n = 3Hyza took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHyzaKulisekH − KBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match40.531.5+9.0per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHyzaKulisekBasisWin rate · lifetime222 / 401 vs 400 / 87955.4%45.5%222 / 401 vs 400 / 879Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
HyzaHyza 1.44/Kulisek 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.3%
Hyza · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Hyza won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 21:48D. Hyza3711114113M. Kulisek34861191
WSep 6 · 20:50D. Hyza351111133M. Kulisek2577110
WAug 26 · 14:55D. Hyza4211911113M. Kulisek29511671
WAug 20 · 17:25D. Hyza331111113M. Kulisek239950
WAug 19 · 14:50D. Hyza471121112113M. Kulisek4591181432
WAug 16 · 19:25D. Hyza3741111113M. Kulisek32119391
LAug 13 · 18:10D. Hyza46131131182M. Kulisek471113111113
WAug 13 · 15:25D. Hyza521111118113M. Kulisek4249131152
WAug 9 · 21:25D. Hyza43111110113M. Kulisek27741241
WAug 9 · 18:50D. Hyza331111113M. Kulisek114340
D. Hyza10
LOct 6 · 15:20A. Rek1.7311311113D. Hyza2.00911991WOct 6 · 14:50M. Sulc2.637116101D. Hyza1.4411911123LSep 30 · 17:25P. Benes1.52111169113D. Hyza2.3597111142LSep 30 · 16:50D. Hyza2.00713140P. Benes1.731115163LSep 30 · 15:20M. Brozek1.731111113D. Hyza2.009550LSep 30 · 14:50P. Dvorak1.6111611113D. Hyza2.20211451WSep 22 · 17:53D. Hyza1.75711711113A. Kosacky1.9511911672WSep 22 · 16:55D. Hyza1.8391111113A. Kosacky1.83116941LSep 22 · 15:55D. Hyza2.5011115982P. Vanek1.50771111113LSep 22 · 14:55D. Hyza2.10911114122M. Brozek1.67114611143
M. Kulisek10
WOct 6 · 15:50M. Kulisek1.5711116113M. Sulc2.25981171LOct 6 · 14:20A. Rek2.00412114113M. Kulisek1.73111091192WOct 4 · 22:25M. Brozek1.8311981182M. Kulisek1.83911119113WOct 4 · 20:55A. Kosacky1.368680M. Kulisek3.001111113LOct 4 · 20:25M. Brozek1.611111113M. Kulisek2.206530WOct 4 · 19:25M. Kulisek1.801111113O. Fiklik1.913670LOct 3 · 22:29A. Kosacky1.441511911113M. Kulisek2.6317911942WOct 3 · 21:25M. Kulisek2.0011118113M. Brozek1.73471191LOct 3 · 19:55A. Kosacky1.401111113M. Kulisek2.754790WOct 3 · 19:25O. Fiklik2.00211651M. Kulisek1.7311811113
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