TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Karol Sulkowski vs Marcin Kowalczyk 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
7111181210116––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
76 points played in total.
Set by set
7111181210116––
H2H Karol Sulkowski 7–8 Marcin Kowalczyk Karol Sulkowski has won 7 of their 15 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Kowalczyk beat Sulkowski 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sulkowski form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSulkowski 1.71 / Kowalczyk 2.00
TT Elite Series · #13251461
Sulkowski1.71
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite55% won 173 of 316
Up 2–0, closes it96% 71 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it79% 133 of 169
Kowalczyk2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 140 of 327
Down 0–1, comes back22% 37 of 165
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 77
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSulkowski5wins
AwayKowalczyk5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSulkowski100%4 of 4
AwayKowalczyk83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sulkowski4Kowalczyk6n = 10Kowalczyk took 6 of 10
S2Sulkowski5Kowalczyk5n = 10split evenly
S3Sulkowski5Kowalczyk5n = 10split evenly
S4Sulkowski5Kowalczyk3n = 8Sulkowski took 5 of 8
S5Sulkowski2Kowalczyk2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSulkowskiKowalczykS − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.438.8−2.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSulkowskiKowalczykBasisWin rate · lifetime650 / 1322 vs 730 / 148449.2%49.2%650 / 1322 vs 730 / 1484Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SulkowskiSulkowski 1.71/Kowalczyk 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–1
Sulkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 5 · 19:20K. Sulkowski30511951M. Kowalczyk4011711113
LSep 3 · 18:30K. Sulkowski4384111192M. Kowalczyk47111159113
LAug 27 · 16:15K. Sulkowski33491191M. Kowalczyk3911116113
WAug 26 · 23:20K. Sulkowski4011117113M. Kowalczyk37891191
WAug 26 · 20:30K. Sulkowski331111113M. Kowalczyk249780
LAug 24 · 22:35K. Sulkowski197570M. Kowalczyk331111113
WJun 18 · 16:15K. Sulkowski45117115113M. Kowalczyk3871161132
WJun 16 · 18:30K. Sulkowski48511911123M. Kowalczyk46119115102
LJun 15 · 18:30K. Sulkowski3871151322M. Kowalczyk511171111113
WJun 1 · 20:40K. Sulkowski3511211113M. Kowalczyk33811771
K. Sulkowski10
WOct 6 · 00:10B. Kwodawski1.7581111972K. Sulkowski1.98114511113WOct 5 · 23:45K. Sulkowski1.65114812113J. Przewlocki2.10711111072LOct 5 · 22:55K. Sulkowski1.65119111142K. Golaszewski2.05131188113WOct 5 · 20:05K. Golaszewski2.3071190K. Sulkowski1.551113113LOct 5 · 19:20M. Kowalczyk1.8111711113K. Sulkowski1.90511951LOct 5 · 17:20J. Przewlocki1.99111211113K. Sulkowski1.744101361LOct 5 · 16:35P. Strus1.981111113K. Sulkowski1.757940WOct 5 · 15:00B. Kwodawski1.80771471K. Sulkowski1.90111112113LOct 5 · 00:35A. Linek1.511112113K. Sulkowski2.4071090LOct 4 · 22:55J. Glanowski1.4111116113K. Sulkowski2.60571171
M. Kowalczyk10
LOct 5 · 23:20B. Kwodawski1.871111113M. Kowalczyk1.839750LOct 5 · 22:35J. Przewlocki1.7811118113M. Kowalczyk1.93571141WOct 5 · 22:15M. Kowalczyk1.43111111113K. Golaszewski2.65813571LOct 5 · 20:30B. Kwodawski1.71117211113M. Kowalczyk2.0061111742WOct 5 · 19:20M. Kowalczyk1.8111711113K. Sulkowski1.90511951LOct 5 · 18:10P. Strus1.80312511113M. Kowalczyk1.86111011672LOct 5 · 16:55K. Golaszewski2.1011115123M. Kowalczyk1.6081113101WOct 5 · 15:25J. Przewlocki1.74871111142M. Kowalczyk1.95111169163LOct 1 · 19:40M. Kowalczyk1.956570D. Wrobel1.751111113LOct 1 · 18:30M. Kowalczyk2.107690J. Lamperski1.661111113
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