TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Jacek Przewlocki vs Marcin Kowalczyk 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
8117111161191416
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:17 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJacek Przewlocki to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
104 points played in total.
Set by set
8117111161191416
H2H Jacek Przewlocki 6–5 Marcin Kowalczyk Marcin Kowalczyk has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:1754.0%Our read57.5%to break even at 1.74
short by 3.5pp57.5% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.74 they are the same number)
What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.74 (53%)
Przewlocki
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
6-5 in 11
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Przewlocki 1224 vs Kowalczyk 1272
Kowalczyk
Correct
both rated, 48 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Przewlocki 20% vs Kowalczyk 40%
Kowalczyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Przewlocki 20% vs Kowalczyk 60%
Kowalczyk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Przewlocki -3 · Kowalczyk -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Przewlocki) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kowalczyk form (40%) is below what odds imply (51%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrzewlocki 1.74 / Kowalczyk 1.95
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Przewlocki)-3.5pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13243756
Przewlocki1.74
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Oct 02)
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 113 of 204
Up 2–0, closes it94% 46 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it71% 82 of 116
Kowalczyk1.95
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 4 days ago (Oct 01)
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 140 of 327
Down 0–1, comes back22% 37 of 165
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 77
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrzewlocki5wins
AwayKowalczyk5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrzewlocki100%4 of 4
AwayKowalczyk83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Przewlocki4Kowalczyk6n = 10Kowalczyk took 6 of 10
S2Przewlocki5Kowalczyk5n = 10split evenly
S3Przewlocki6Kowalczyk4n = 10Przewlocki took 6 of 10
S4Przewlocki2Kowalczyk4n = 6Kowalczyk took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrzewlockiKowalczykP − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.535.3−0.8per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrzewlockiKowalczykBasisWin rate · lifetime511 / 1059 vs 735 / 149848.3%49.1%511 / 1059 vs 735 / 1498Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.836.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
PrzewlockiPrzewlocki 1.74/Kowalczyk 1.95
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Przewlocki · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kowalczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 21 · 22:15J. Przewlocki208660M. Kowalczyk331111113
WSep 21 · 16:55J. Przewlocki341111123M. Kowalczyk2477100
LAug 20 · 21:55J. Przewlocki331011391M. Kowalczyk3612211113
WAug 20 · 16:15J. Przewlocki4211119113M. Kowalczyk33681181
LJul 28 · 21:55J. Przewlocki30491161M. Kowalczyk4211119113
WJul 28 · 16:20J. Przewlocki4311713123M. Kowalczyk4191111101
LJul 23 · 16:15J. Przewlocki248790M. Kowalczyk331111113
WJul 14 · 17:45J. Przewlocki49811115143M. Kowalczyk51119811122
WNov 4 · 03:00J. Przewlocki331111113M. Kowalczyk226970
LNov 4 · 00:30J. Przewlocki377911101M. Kowalczyk3811114123
J. Przewlocki10
WOct 5 · 16:15B. Kwodawski1.801110771J. Przewlocki1.9191211113LOct 2 · 13:55B. Warpas1.8516711113J. Przewlocki1.851411941LOct 2 · 13:05F. Krcil1.601011112123J. Przewlocki2.15129511102LOct 2 · 12:15J. Przewlocki1.8611810101K. Kufel1.8561112123WOct 2 · 10:35J. Przewlocki1.931181111163B. Czerwinski1.79611713142LOct 2 · 09:50J. Zochniak1.181111113J. Przewlocki4.507490LOct 2 · 08:35B. Warpas1.958111111113J. Przewlocki1.7511791342WOct 2 · 07:20J. Przewlocki1.71111511113M. Lukaszewski2.00217341LOct 2 · 06:05F. Krcil1.51118116113J. Przewlocki2.4041191162LOct 2 · 04:55K. Kufel1.605111111113J. Przewlocki2.1511661382
M. Kowalczyk10
LOct 1 · 19:40M. Kowalczyk1.956570D. Wrobel1.751111113LOct 1 · 18:30M. Kowalczyk2.107690J. Lamperski1.661111113LOct 1 · 17:20M. Kowalczyk2.1531291342A. Myszewski1.6211101111113WOct 1 · 16:15W. Iwasyszyn1.859750M. Kowalczyk1.851111113WOct 1 · 15:25M. Kowalczyk2.001111113J. Rolak1.715980LSep 30 · 23:20K. Klocek1.7581111133M. Kowalczyk1.951179111WSep 30 · 22:35J. Lamperski1.5091040M. Kowalczyk2.401112113WSep 30 · 22:15M. Kowalczyk2.0571114143D. Kotwica1.7011812121WSep 30 · 21:05D. Poloszczanski1.764870M. Kowalczyk1.951111113WSep 30 · 20:30K. Klocek2.116530M. Kowalczyk1.661111113
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