TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Jacek Przewlocki vs Karol Sulkowski 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11412101113116––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:13 and never touched: 56.3% is still 56.3%
Graded at full timeKarol Sulkowski to win
56.3%
56.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
78 points played in total.
Set by set
11412101113116––
H2H Jacek Przewlocki 3–9 Karol Sulkowski Jacek Przewlocki has won 3 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:1356.3%Our read57.5%to break even at 1.74
short by 1.2pp57.5% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.74 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.74 (53%)
Sulkowski
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
3-9 in 12
Sulkowski
Wrong
gap of 6 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Przewlocki 1229 vs Sulkowski 1302
Sulkowski
Wrong
both rated, 73 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Przewlocki 20% vs Sulkowski 40%
Sulkowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Przewlocki 30% vs Sulkowski 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Przewlocki +1 · Sulkowski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% · Slight lean (leans Sulkowski) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sulkowski form (40%) is below what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrzewlocki 1.99 / Sulkowski 1.74
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Sulkowski)-1.2pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13249855
Przewlocki1.99
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 78 of 195
Down 0–1, comes back19% 19 of 101
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 58
Sulkowski1.74
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite55% won 173 of 316
Up 2–0, closes it96% 71 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it79% 133 of 169
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrzewlocki3wins
AwaySulkowski7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSulkowski leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrzewlocki75%3 of 4
AwaySulkowski100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Przewlocki4Sulkowski6n = 10Sulkowski took 6 of 10
S2Przewlocki6Sulkowski4n = 10Przewlocki took 6 of 10
S3Przewlocki5Sulkowski5n = 10split evenly
S4Przewlocki2Sulkowski5n = 7Sulkowski took 5 of 7
S5Przewlocki1Sulkowski3n = 4Sulkowski took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrzewlockiSulkowskiP − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.239.7−3.5per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrzewlockiSulkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime512 / 1061 vs 650 / 132048.3%49.2%512 / 1061 vs 650 / 1320Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SulkowskiPrzewlocki 1.99/Sulkowski 1.74
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.3%
Sulkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Przewlocki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LMay 16 · 11:25J. Przewlocki47131111842K. Sulkowski48156511113
WMay 16 · 03:00J. Przewlocki45111193113K. Sulkowski3748111132
LApr 25 · 05:15J. Przewlocki381110981K. Sulkowski4391211113
WMar 15 · 07:15J. Przewlocki351311113K. Sulkowski2811980
LMar 15 · 04:45J. Przewlocki4166121252K. Sulkowski5311111010113
LFeb 23 · 13:35J. Przewlocki381091271K. Sulkowski44121110113
LFeb 23 · 07:15J. Przewlocki24511441K. Sulkowski4211911113
WFeb 23 · 04:45J. Przewlocki341211113K. Sulkowski2510870
LFeb 13 · 11:55J. Przewlocki208570K. Sulkowski331111113
LFeb 6 · 10:45J. Przewlocki4091141152K. Sulkowski44118113113
J. Przewlocki10
WOct 5 · 16:15B. Kwodawski1.801110771J. Przewlocki1.9191211113LOct 5 · 15:25J. Przewlocki1.74871111142M. Kowalczyk1.95111169163LOct 2 · 13:55B. Warpas1.8516711113J. Przewlocki1.851411941LOct 2 · 13:05F. Krcil1.601011112123J. Przewlocki2.15129511102LOct 2 · 12:15J. Przewlocki1.8611810101K. Kufel1.8561112123WOct 2 · 10:35J. Przewlocki1.931181111163B. Czerwinski1.79611713142LOct 2 · 09:50J. Zochniak1.181111113J. Przewlocki4.507490LOct 2 · 08:35B. Warpas1.958111111113J. Przewlocki1.7511791342WOct 2 · 07:20J. Przewlocki1.71111511113M. Lukaszewski2.00217341LOct 2 · 06:05F. Krcil1.51118116113J. Przewlocki2.4041191162
K. Sulkowski10
LOct 5 · 16:35P. Strus1.981111113K. Sulkowski1.757940WOct 5 · 15:00B. Kwodawski1.80771471K. Sulkowski1.90111112113LOct 5 · 00:35A. Linek1.511112113K. Sulkowski2.4071090LOct 4 · 22:55J. Glanowski1.4111116113K. Sulkowski2.60571171WOct 4 · 22:15K. Rudomina1.50691311102K. Sulkowski2.401111118123LOct 4 · 21:30R. Stapor1.46111011113K. Sulkowski2.40712471WOct 4 · 19:40M. Kukawka1.36113571K. Sulkowski2.8581111113LOct 4 · 18:55K. Rudomina1.251111123K. Sulkowski3.4097100LOct 4 · 18:10K. Sulkowski2.909760R. Stapor1.371111113WOct 4 · 16:35K. Sulkowski1.91178611113J. Glanowski1.80151111582
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