TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Lukasz Oracz vs Kamil Kowalski 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
12101113112711711
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:19 and never touched: 83.1% is still 83.1%
Graded at full timeLukasz Oracz to win
83.1%
83.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
95 points played in total.
Set by set
12101113112711711
H2H Lukasz Oracz 2–5 Kamil Kowalski Lukasz Oracz has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:1983.1%Our read78.7%to break even at 1.27
clears by 4.4pp78.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.27 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.27 (73%)
Oracz
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
2-5 in 7
Kowalski
Correct
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Oracz 1392 vs Kowalski 1105
Oracz
Wrong
both rated, 286 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Oracz 80% vs Kowalski 40%
Oracz
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Oracz 60% vs Kowalski 30%
Oracz
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Oracz +3 · Kowalski +1
Oracz
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 83% · Strong (leans Oracz) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kowalski form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (30%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOracz 1.27 / Kowalski 3.35
Signal prob.83% / 17%
Edge (Oracz)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13251165
Oracz1.27
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 359 of 567
Up 2–0, closes it97% 201 of 208
Up 1–0, closes it82% 279 of 342
Kowalski3.35
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog17% won 31 of 178
Down 0–1, comes back6% 7 of 116
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 79
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeOracz2wins
AwayKowalski5wins
3 of 7 to a deciderKowalski leads 5–2, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOracz66.7%2 of 3
AwayKowalski100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Oracz3Kowalski4n = 7Kowalski took 4 of 7
S2Oracz3Kowalski4n = 7Kowalski took 4 of 7
S3Oracz5Kowalski2n = 7Oracz took 5 of 7
S4Oracz3Kowalski4n = 7Kowalski took 4 of 7
S5Oracz0Kowalski3n = 3Kowalski took 3 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away343%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricOraczKowalskiO − KBasisWins25−3in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match40.939.0+1.9per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOraczKowalskiBasisWin rate · lifetime864 / 1570 vs 34 / 19255%17.7%864 / 1570 vs 34 / 192Avg sets wonper match2.11.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.032.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
OraczOracz 1.27/Kowalski 3.35
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
83.1%
Oracz · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kowalski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LOct 2 · 20:30L. Oracz4691111692K. Kowalski46116711113
LSep 17 · 11:50L. Oracz361195111K. Kowalski4381111133
LSep 17 · 03:50L. Oracz409111191K. Kowalski3911413113
WAug 6 · 13:30L. Oracz4111811113K. Kowalski27511291
LAug 6 · 07:20L. Oracz4281111842K. Kowalski47119511113
LJul 29 · 13:30L. Oracz4158111162K. Kowalski46111167113
WJul 29 · 07:20L. Oracz4011711113K. Kowalski25711341
L. Oracz10
WOct 5 · 18:45L. Oracz1.7511156113K. Adamus1.909131181WOct 5 · 17:30L. Oracz1.821111123W. Urban1.8898100WOct 4 · 16:20L. Oracz1.801111143P. Jedrzejak1.8565120LOct 4 · 15:05L. Oracz1.9051060M. Malecha1.811112113WOct 4 · 13:55L. Oracz1.9015611113M. Oracz1.811311981LOct 4 · 12:45S. Szostok1.85911512113L. Oracz1.85116111082LOct 4 · 11:55L. Oracz2.2071161342I. Szymanski1.611161111113WOct 4 · 10:20L. Oracz1.85111186113S. Szostok1.8547111192WOct 4 · 09:05L. Oracz1.601111123M. Malecha2.1585100LOct 4 · 07:55L. Oracz2.208101181M. Oracz1.5711128113
K. Kowalski10
WOct 5 · 19:30K. Kowalski5.757101111113P. Gumulinski1.1211124942LOct 5 · 18:20K. Kowalski3.101125111D. Dytko1.3051111133LOct 5 · 04:40K. Kowalski4.803860W. Urban1.161111113WOct 5 · 03:05J. Nowak2.1868111162K. Kowalski1.62111199113LOct 5 · 02:20D. Dytko1.121111113K. Kowalski4.907890LOct 5 · 01:30K. Kowalski6.008990P. Gumulinski1.111111113LOct 5 · 00:20K. Kowalski4.80711551P. Kurek1.1411711113LOct 4 · 22:40K. Kowalski2.5011631162W. Urban1.45911117113LOct 4 · 21:05J. Nowak1.85711112113K. Kowalski1.8011591192WOct 4 · 20:20P. Kurek1.301110101172K. Kowalski3.10812125113
Upcoming Matches
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