TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Jakub Kaczmarek vs Pawel Polok 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11813119111412––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
89 points played in total.
Set by set
11813119111412––
H2H Jakub Kaczmarek 1–5 Pawel Polok Jakub Kaczmarek has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Polok beat Kaczmarek 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kaczmarek form (20%) is below what odds imply (74%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKaczmarek 1.36 / Polok 2.91
TT Elite Series · #13249744
Kaczmarek1.36
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite59% won 74 of 126
Up 2–0, closes it93% 39 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it81% 63 of 78
Polok2.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog56% won 22 of 39
Down 0–1, comes back40% 6 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeKaczmarek1wins
AwayPolok5wins
1 of 6 to a deciderPolok leads 5–1, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKaczmarekn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayPolok100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kaczmarek1Polok5n = 6Polok took 5 of 6
S2Kaczmarek2Polok4n = 6Polok took 4 of 6
S3Kaczmarek2Polok4n = 6Polok took 4 of 6
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away467%
These 6 meetings
MetricKaczmarekPolokK − PBasisWins15−4in 6 meetingsFirst set15−4of 6Avg pointsper match27.235.2−8.0per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKaczmarekPolokBasisWin rate · lifetime508 / 1352 vs 185 / 29337.6%63.1%508 / 1352 vs 185 / 293Avg sets wonper match1.62.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.037.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KaczmarekKaczmarek 1.36/Polok 2.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–1
Kaczmarek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LOct 5 · 09:55J. Kaczmarek207940P. Polok331111113
LSep 25 · 06:00J. Kaczmarek2351170P. Polok351113113
WSep 18 · 08:45J. Kaczmarek361114113P. Polok3091290
LAug 14 · 15:55J. Kaczmarek195770P. Polok331111113
LAug 14 · 09:55J. Kaczmarek46111111852P. Polok47137511113
LAug 4 · 19:35J. Kaczmarek194870P. Polok331111113
J. Kaczmarek10
LOct 5 · 17:05J. Pelka1.821211113J. Kaczmarek1.8810970WOct 5 · 14:45G. Wichowski2.751168121J. Kaczmarek1.4091111143LOct 5 · 13:30R. Skotniczny1.4091115113J. Kaczmarek2.751181371LOct 5 · 11:55Y. Fomin1.29111115113J. Kaczmarek3.30861761LOct 5 · 11:05G. Wichowski1.301171111113J. Kaczmarek3.1591141342LOct 5 · 09:55J. Kaczmarek3.107940P. Polok1.301111113WOct 5 · 08:45J. Pelka1.9741171112J. Kaczmarek1.76115119113LOct 5 · 07:30R. Skotniczny1.451113113J. Kaczmarek2.3751140WOct 5 · 05:55Y. Fomin1.328915121J. Kaczmarek3.05111113143LOct 1 · 16:40R. Skotniczny1.3718911113J. Kaczmarek2.751611821
P. Polok10
LOct 5 · 13:55Y. Fomin2.301111113P. Polok1.527860LOct 5 · 13:10G. Wichowski1.811111113P. Polok1.909470LOct 5 · 11:30J. Pelka1.6711911123P. Polok2.108119101WOct 5 · 10:40R. Skotniczny1.85119881P. Polok1.8571111113WOct 5 · 09:55J. Kaczmarek3.107940P. Polok1.301111113WOct 5 · 07:55Y. Fomin2.158460P. Polok1.601111113LOct 5 · 07:10J. Pelka2.0011136163P. Polok1.7051111141LOct 5 · 05:30G. Wichowski—12911133P. Polok—10119111LOct 4 · 14:40P. Polok1.5011940J. Jesiek2.501311113LOct 4 · 13:05P. Polok1.5011811792D. Swider2.50711611113
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