TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Jerzy Pelka vs Rafal Skotniczny 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1187111412116––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
80 points played in total.
Set by set
1187111412116––
H2H Jerzy Pelka 21–35 Rafal Skotniczny Jerzy Pelka has won 21 of their 56 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 8h before this match
Skotniczny beat Pelka 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pelka form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPelka 2.10 / Skotniczny 1.65
TT Elite Series · #13249326
Pelka2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 87 of 186
Down 0–1, comes back18% 15 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 50
Skotniczny1.65
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 216 of 338
Up 2–0, closes it95% 112 of 118
Up 1–0, closes it82% 165 of 202
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePelka3wins
AwaySkotniczny7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSkotniczny leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePelka50%2 of 4
AwaySkotniczny83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pelka4Skotniczny6n = 10Skotniczny took 6 of 10
S2Pelka3Skotniczny7n = 10Skotniczny took 7 of 10
S3Pelka2Skotniczny8n = 10Skotniczny took 8 of 10
S4Pelka4Skotniczny3n = 7Pelka took 4 of 7
S5Pelka2Skotniczny2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricPelkaSkotnicznyP − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.341.2−5.9per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPelkaSkotnicznyBasisWin rate · lifetime448 / 946 vs 621 / 104847.4%59.3%448 / 946 vs 621 / 1048Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SkotnicznyPelka 2.10/Skotniczny 1.65
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–1
Pelka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 5 · 06:20J. Pelka32127671R. Skotniczny43101111113
WAug 26 · 11:30J. Pelka41111153113R. Skotniczny4184111172
LAug 26 · 07:10J. Pelka4285111172R. Skotniczny45111166113
LJul 9 · 17:05J. Pelka341161431R. Skotniczny4791116113
LJul 9 · 08:45J. Pelka2341450R. Skotniczny381116113
WJun 2 · 11:30J. Pelka531210611143R. Skotniczny521012117122
LJun 2 · 07:10J. Pelka209470R. Skotniczny331111113
WMay 22 · 13:30J. Pelka43101111113R. Skotniczny35128691
LMay 22 · 07:30J. Pelka2611780R. Skotniczny351311113
LApr 24 · 14:20J. Pelka3941141192R. Skotniczny43116114113
J. Pelka10
WOct 5 · 17:05J. Pelka1.821211113J. Kaczmarek1.8810970LOct 5 · 15:30J. Pelka1.90114781G. Wichowski1.7591111113LOct 5 · 12:45J. Pelka1.655490Y. Fomin2.101111113WOct 5 · 11:30J. Pelka1.6711911123P. Polok2.108119101LOct 5 · 10:20Y. Fomin2.1012911163J. Pelka1.6510116141LOct 5 · 09:30G. Wichowski1.571311129113J. Pelka2.20159101192LOct 5 · 08:45J. Pelka1.9741171112J. Kaczmarek1.76115119113WOct 5 · 07:10J. Pelka2.0011136163P. Polok1.7051111141LOct 5 · 06:20R. Skotniczny1.75101111113J. Pelka1.90127671LOct 2 · 16:40K. Hetnar1.6611611113J. Pelka2.10811931
R. Skotniczny10
WOct 5 · 15:05Y. Fomin2.2581060R. Skotniczny1.571112113WOct 5 · 13:30R. Skotniczny1.4091115113J. Kaczmarek2.751181371LOct 5 · 12:20R. Skotniczny1.751011111092G. Wichowski1.98123612113LOct 5 · 10:40R. Skotniczny1.85119881P. Polok1.8571111113WOct 5 · 09:05Y. Fomin2.30911061R. Skotniczny1.5211811113WOct 5 · 08:20G. Wichowski1.876511121R. Skotniczny1.8311119143WOct 5 · 07:30R. Skotniczny1.451113113J. Kaczmarek2.3751140WOct 5 · 06:20R. Skotniczny1.75101111113J. Pelka1.90127671WOct 2 · 14:20R. Skotniczny1.4091111133K. Schaniel2.751158111LOct 2 · 12:40O. Jadach2.10881111113R. Skotniczny1.6711117582
Upcoming Matches
J. Pelka
Nothing scheduled
R. Skotniczny
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