TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vitalii Klymenko vs Oleksandr Kolos 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
5115111113––––
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:27 and never touched: 71.2% is still 71.2%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Kolos to win
71.2%
71.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingVitalii Klymenko above · Oleksandr Kolos below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Point 56 set 3, 11-13 · our read held Oleksandr Kolos at 71.2%
56 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Klymenko 18–36 Oleksandr Kolos Vitalii Klymenko has won 18 of their 54 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:2771.2%Our read73.4%to break even at 1.363
short by 2.2pp73.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.363 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Kolos
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
18-36 in 54
Kolos
Correct
gap of 18 in 54, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Klymenko 1049 vs Kolos 1145
Kolos
Correct
both rated, 96 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Klymenko 40% vs Kolos 60%
Kolos
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Klymenko 50% vs Kolos 80%
Kolos
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Klymenko -1 · Kolos +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% · Strong (leans Kolos) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolos form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKlymenko 3.00 / Kolos 1.363
Signal prob.29% / 71%
Edge (Kolos)-2.2pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13245434
Klymenko3.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 37 of 100
Down 0–1, comes back20% 12 of 60
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 37
Kolos1.36
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite75% won 62 of 83
Up 2–0, closes it94% 32 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it87% 46 of 53
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKlymenko2wins
AwayKolos8wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKolos leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKlymenko33.3%1 of 3
AwayKolos85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Klymenko3Kolos7n = 10Kolos took 7 of 10
S2Klymenko5Kolos5n = 10split evenly
S3Klymenko2Kolos8n = 10Kolos took 8 of 10
S4Klymenko2Kolos5n = 7Kolos took 5 of 7
S5Klymenko2Kolos3n = 5Kolos took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKlymenkoKolosKlymenko − KolosBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match34.740.9−6.2per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKlymenkoKolosBasisWin rate · lifetime104 / 258 vs 160 / 30340.3%52.8%104 / 258 vs 160 / 303Avg sets wonper match1.72.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.037.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KolosKlymenko 3.00/Kolos 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.2%
Kolos · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kolos won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 3 · 07:30V. Klymenko491011116113O. Kolos4112731182
LSep 30 · 15:00V. Klymenko1741030O. Kolos341112113
LSep 28 · 16:00V. Klymenko331141171O. Kolos4491113113
WSep 26 · 10:02V. Klymenko43114611113O. Kolos3951111572
LSep 26 · 06:00V. Klymenko49711138102O. Kolos501151111123
LSep 23 · 17:28V. Klymenko3711114382O. Kolos45931111113
LSep 23 · 13:30V. Klymenko184680O. Kolos331111113
LSep 21 · 15:00V. Klymenko44101171152O. Kolos52129119113
LSep 19 · 08:00V. Klymenko2161050O. Kolos341112113
LAug 15 · 09:00V. Klymenko36811981O. Kolos3711411113
V. Klymenko10
LOct 5 · 13:30R. Boklah1.6711811113V. Klymenko2.10511681WOct 5 · 12:30V. Klymenko1.731311113D. Aldayev2.0011770LOct 3 · 11:30V. Klymenko4.009790A. Fastov1.221111113LOct 3 · 09:30D. Aldayev2.2011114133V. Klymenko1.617511111WOct 3 · 07:30O. Kolos1.3012731182V. Klymenko3.401011116113WOct 3 · 06:30V. Klymenko2.251111113R. Boklah1.572650WOct 3 · 05:30V. Ivnytskyi2.2571150V. Klymenko1.571113113WSep 30 · 16:59V. Klymenko1.801311113V. Ivnytskyi1.9111880LSep 30 · 16:00V. Klymenko2.209111291R. Boklah1.6111514113LSep 30 · 15:00O. Kolos1.361112113V. Klymenko3.0041030
O. Kolos10
WOct 5 · 13:00Y. Priadko2.004990O. Kolos1.731111113LOct 5 · 12:00R. Boklah1.5711812113O. Kolos2.254111061WOct 3 · 10:30O. Kolos1.3381114113D. Aldayev3.251191271WOct 3 · 09:00O. Kolos1.221081211113V. Ivnytskyi4.00121110442LOct 3 · 07:30O. Kolos1.3012731182V. Klymenko3.401011116113WOct 3 · 06:00O. Kolos2.1011115113A. Fastov1.67781151WOct 3 · 04:30O. Kolos2.501111113R. Boklah1.505830WSep 30 · 17:28R. Boklah1.4478111152O. Kolos2.63111188113WSep 30 · 16:30D. Aldayev2.5010560O. Kolos1.501211113WSep 30 · 15:00O. Kolos1.361112113V. Klymenko3.0041030
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