TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Adam Linek vs Jakub Glanowski 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 4Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
6118111614611––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:01 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdam Linek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
83 points played in total.
Set by set
6118111614611––
H2H Adam Linek 36–47 Jakub Glanowski Adam Linek has won 36 of their 83 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:0154.0%Our read55.6%to break even at 1.80
short by 1.6pp55.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.80 they are the same number)
What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Linek
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
36-47 in 83
Glanowski
Correct
gap of 11 in 83, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Linek 1433 vs Glanowski 1490
Glanowski
Correct
both rated, 56 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Linek 40% vs Glanowski 60%
Glanowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Linek 60% vs Glanowski 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Linek +2 · Glanowski +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Linek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Linek form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLinek 1.80 / Glanowski 1.90
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Linek)-1.6pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13245361
Linek1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 102 of 180
Up 2–0, closes it87% 39 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it73% 75 of 103
Glanowski1.90
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 127 of 336
Down 0–1, comes back20% 35 of 175
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 96
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLinek3wins
AwayGlanowski7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderGlanowski leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLinekn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayGlanowski75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Linek2Glanowski8n = 10Glanowski took 8 of 10
S2Linek5Glanowski5n = 10split evenly
S3Linek6Glanowski4n = 10Linek took 6 of 10
S4Linek4Glanowski5n = 9Glanowski took 5 of 9
S5Linek2Glanowski3n = 5Glanowski took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLinekGlanowskiL − GBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match47.550.0−2.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLinekGlanowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime766 / 1642 vs 889 / 177646.7%50.1%766 / 1642 vs 889 / 1776Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
LinekLinek 1.80/Glanowski 1.90
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Linek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Glanowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 4 · 20:05A. Linek36681661J. Glanowski47111114113
WOct 1 · 22:55A. Linek341112113J. Glanowski2891090
LOct 1 · 18:30A. Linek55991312122J. Glanowski5711111110143
LSep 27 · 21:55A. Linek381011891J. Glanowski4212811113
WSep 27 · 18:10A. Linek611181411173J. Glanowski601311129152
LSep 8 · 08:35A. Linek721325118152J. Glanowski751523911173
LAug 25 · 08:35A. Linek55911813142J. Glanowski551161111163
LAug 10 · 00:35A. Linek33136771J. Glanowski44111111113
WAug 9 · 18:30A. Linek50921115133J. Glanowski491111313112
LJul 27 · 23:45A. Linek4110119111J. Glanowski4312711133
A. Linek10
WOct 4 · 18:30M. Kukawka1.7091111872A. Linek2.05118511113WOct 4 · 17:45K. Rudomina1.8814890A. Linek1.821611113LOct 4 · 16:55A. Linek1.823780R. Stapor1.881111113LOct 4 · 15:50A. Linek2.2161171242K. Sulkowski1.601141110113LOct 3 · 14:10A. Myszewski2.2011118113A. Linek1.61651191WOct 3 · 13:20M. Misiak1.8361370A. Linek1.831115113LOct 3 · 11:15I. Dabrowski2.38111210113A. Linek1.539101281WOct 3 · 10:25B. Mleczko1.6711811882A. Linek2.10611711113WOct 3 · 09:00M. Marchlewski1.50812111142A. Linek2.501110136113WOct 3 · 08:05M. Misiak1.838690A. Linek1.831111113
J. Glanowski10
WOct 4 · 19:20R. Stapor1.8361111492J. Glanowski1.83119811113WOct 4 · 17:20M. Kukawka1.75911116122J. Glanowski1.95118811143LOct 4 · 16:35K. Sulkowski1.91178611113J. Glanowski1.80151111582LOct 4 · 15:00K. Rudomina1.7711611113J. Glanowski1.93511781WOct 3 · 00:10K. Sulkowski2.40681171J. Glanowski1.5011117113LOct 2 · 23:45J. Glanowski1.901111541J. Lamperski1.8013511113WOct 2 · 22:55J. Glanowski1.5711114113D. Poloszczanski2.20771191WOct 2 · 21:05J. Glanowski1.5015117113M. Trela2.351371181WOct 2 · 20:05D. Szlubowski2.405780J. Glanowski1.501111113WOct 2 · 19:20K. Sulkowski2.87119991J. Glanowski1.3781111113
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