TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Karol Sulkowski vs Jakub Glanowski 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611811117711––
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 00:06 and never touched: 72.1% is still 72.1%
Graded at full timeJakub Glanowski to win
72.1%
72.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
72 points played in total.
Set by set
611811117711––
H2H Karol Sulkowski 14–26 Jakub Glanowski Karol Sulkowski has won 14 of their 40 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Glanowski beat Sulkowski 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 00:0672.1%Our read66.7%to break even at 1.50
clears by 5.4pp66.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.50 they are the same number)
What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (62%)
Glanowski
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
14-26 in 40
Glanowski
Correct
gap of 12 in 40, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sulkowski 1282 vs Glanowski 1494
Glanowski
Correct
both rated, 212 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sulkowski 20% vs Glanowski 100%
Glanowski
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sulkowski 30% vs Glanowski 80%
Glanowski
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sulkowski -1 · Glanowski +8
Glanowski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% · Strong (leans Glanowski) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Glanowski form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSulkowski 2.40 / Glanowski 1.50
Signal prob.28% / 72%
Edge (Glanowski)+5.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13228802
Sulkowski2.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 132 of 372
Down 0–1, comes back16% 35 of 225
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 122
Glanowski1.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 8
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 225 of 366
Up 2–0, closes it90% 112 of 124
Up 1–0, closes it72% 159 of 221
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSulkowski1wins
AwayGlanowski9wins
3 of 10 to a deciderGlanowski leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSulkowski33.3%1 of 3
AwayGlanowski100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sulkowski3Glanowski7n = 10Glanowski took 7 of 10
S2Sulkowski1Glanowski9n = 10Glanowski took 9 of 10
S3Sulkowski3Glanowski7n = 10Glanowski took 7 of 10
S4Sulkowski3Glanowski4n = 7Glanowski took 4 of 7
S5Sulkowski1Glanowski2n = 3Glanowski took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSulkowskiGlanowskiS − GBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match33.339.8−6.5per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSulkowskiGlanowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime640 / 1299 vs 889 / 177949.3%50%640 / 1299 vs 889 / 1779Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
GlanowskiSulkowski 2.40/Glanowski 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.1%
Glanowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Glanowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 2 · 19:20K. Sulkowski38119991J. Glanowski4181111113
LSep 10 · 05:30K. Sulkowski247980J. Glanowski331111113
WSep 8 · 04:10K. Sulkowski48116711133J. Glanowski49711119112
LAug 24 · 06:30K. Sulkowski186930J. Glanowski331111113
LAug 6 · 11:25K. Sulkowski33117871J. Glanowski3961111113
LJul 26 · 17:20K. Sulkowski33681181J. Glanowski4011117113
LJul 25 · 23:20K. Sulkowski4384111282J. Glanowski491111610113
LJul 25 · 21:00K. Sulkowski34591191J. Glanowski3711114113
LJul 16 · 13:05K. Sulkowski227780J. Glanowski331111113
LJun 14 · 00:15K. Sulkowski4051141192J. Glanowski44114117113
K. Sulkowski10
LOct 2 · 23:20K. Sulkowski1.854870M. Trela1.851111113WOct 2 · 21:55K. Sulkowski2.5211911113J. Lamperski1.47811471LOct 2 · 21:30K. Sulkowski1.8011611432D. Poloszczanski1.90611611113LOct 2 · 20:30M. Trela1.781111113K. Sulkowski1.917960LOct 2 · 19:20K. Sulkowski2.87119991J. Glanowski1.3781111113WOct 2 · 18:10P. Strus2.352149121K. Sulkowski1.53111211143LOct 2 · 16:55D. Szlubowski1.671111123K. Sulkowski2.1046100WOct 2 · 15:25K. Klocek1.70118461K. Sulkowski2.0091111113LOct 1 · 08:10M. Kukawka1.4511111110113K. Sulkowski2.5086131282LOct 1 · 07:20R. Stapor1.46111111113K. Sulkowski2.55651361
J. Glanowski10
LOct 2 · 23:45J. Glanowski1.901111541J. Lamperski1.8013511113WOct 2 · 22:55J. Glanowski1.5711114113D. Poloszczanski2.20771191WOct 2 · 21:05J. Glanowski1.5015117113M. Trela2.351371181WOct 2 · 20:05D. Szlubowski2.405780J. Glanowski1.501111113WOct 2 · 19:20K. Sulkowski2.87119991J. Glanowski1.3781111113WOct 2 · 17:20K. Klocek2.2010950J. Glanowski1.571211113WOct 2 · 16:35P. Strus3.8069100J. Glanowski1.231111123WOct 2 · 15:00M. Trela2.35118661J. Glanowski1.5251111113WOct 2 · 00:10D. Solilo1.73117119112J. Glanowski2.00811811133LOct 1 · 23:45J. Glanowski1.801191191B. Sulkowski1.9191113113
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