TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Milosz Kukawka vs Adam Linek 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 4Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911118115811711
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:11 and never touched: 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeMilosz Kukawka to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
92 points played in total.
Set by set
911118115811711
H2H Milosz Kukawka 0–1 Adam Linek Milosz Kukawka has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:1155.3%Our read58.8%to break even at 1.70
short by 3.5pp58.8% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.70 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.70 (55%)
Kukawka
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kukawka 1444 vs Linek 1445
Linek
Correct
both rated, 1 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kukawka 20% vs Linek 40%
Linek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kukawka 40% vs Linek 60%
Linek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kukawka -4 · Linek +1
Kukawka
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% · Slight lean (leans Kukawka) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kukawka form (20%) is below what odds imply (59%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKukawka 1.70 / Linek 2.05
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Kukawka)-3.5pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13239262
Kukawka1.70
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 240 of 371
Up 2–0, closes it98% 125 of 128
Up 1–0, closes it85% 195 of 229
Linek2.05
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 133 of 333
Down 0–1, comes back28% 52 of 187
Down 0–2, comes back8% 7 of 86
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKukawka0wins
AwayLinek1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderLinek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKukawkaLinekK − LBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match46.046.00.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKukawkaLinekBasisWin rate · lifetime516 / 829 vs 766 / 164162.2%46.7%516 / 829 vs 766 / 1641Avg sets wonper match2.31.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KukawkaKukawka 1.70/Linek 2.05
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.3%
Kukawka · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Linek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LOct 4 · 18:30M. Kukawka4691111872A. Linek46118511113
M. Kukawka10
LOct 4 · 17:20M. Kukawka1.75911116122J. Glanowski1.95118811143LOct 4 · 16:15K. Rudomina1.9841112113M. Kukawka1.751171071LOct 4 · 15:25M. Kukawka1.60118391R. Stapor2.1071111113LOct 4 · 00:10M. Kukawka2.63580M. Kolek1.4411112LOct 3 · 23:20M. Kukawka1.737750M. Makajew2.001111113WOct 3 · 21:50M. Kukawka1.801111113B. Sulkowski1.866880LOct 3 · 21:25M. Kukawka1.805870S. Brud1.911111113WOct 3 · 19:40M. Kukawka2.2011713113B. Sulkowski1.619111171LOct 3 · 18:30M. Kukawka1.6713412992S. Brud2.1011111011113WOct 3 · 17:20M. Kukawka1.801111113R. Stapor1.913780
A. Linek10
WOct 4 · 17:45K. Rudomina1.8814890A. Linek1.821611113LOct 4 · 16:55A. Linek1.823780R. Stapor1.881111113LOct 4 · 15:50A. Linek2.2161171242K. Sulkowski1.601141110113LOct 3 · 14:10A. Myszewski2.2011118113A. Linek1.61651191WOct 3 · 13:20M. Misiak1.8361370A. Linek1.831115113LOct 3 · 11:15I. Dabrowski2.38111210113A. Linek1.539101281WOct 3 · 10:25B. Mleczko1.6711811882A. Linek2.10611711113WOct 3 · 09:00M. Marchlewski1.50812111142A. Linek2.501110136113WOct 3 · 08:05M. Misiak1.838690A. Linek1.831111113WOct 3 · 07:20B. Mleczko2.0011980A. Linek1.731311113
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