TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleh Volynets vs Serhii Solomko 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119119113––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:54 and never touched: 59.0% is still 59.0%
Graded at full timeSerhii Solomko to win
59.0%
59.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleh Volynets above · Serhii Solomko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-3
Point 54 set 3, 11-3 · our read held Serhii Solomko at 59.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Volynets 3–3 Serhii Solomko Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:5459.0%Our read60.0%to break even at 1.666
short by 1.0pp60.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.666 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Solomko
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Volynets 1466 vs Solomko 1554
Solomko
Wrong
both rated, 88 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volynets 80% vs Solomko 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volynets 70% vs Solomko 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Volynets +2 · Solomko +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% · Slight lean (leans Solomko) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Solomko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolynets 2.10 / Solomko 1.666
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Solomko)-1.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13245278
Volynets2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog33% won 19 of 58
Down 0–1, comes back17% 6 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 25
Solomko1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite64% won 124 of 194
Up 2–0, closes it90% 64 of 71
Up 1–0, closes it80% 90 of 113
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeVolynets3wins
AwaySolomko3wins
1 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolynets100%3 of 3
AwaySolomko100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volynets3Solomko3n = 6split evenly
S2Volynets3Solomko3n = 6split evenly
S3Volynets3Solomko3n = 6split evenly
S4
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away233%
These 6 meetings
MetricVolynetsSolomkoV − SBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match35.035.2−0.2per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolynetsSolomkoBasisWin rate · lifetime325 / 612 vs 546 / 105153.1%52%325 / 612 vs 546 / 1051Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SolomkoVolynets 2.10/Solomko 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59%
Solomko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Volynets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WOct 5 · 06:00O. Volynets331111113S. Solomko219930
LSep 30 · 10:00O. Volynets183960S. Solomko331111113
LSep 29 · 07:05O. Volynets51121271192S. Solomko531410117113
WSep 7 · 06:30O. Volynets331111113S. Solomko259880
WAug 27 · 10:35O. Volynets50171111113S. Solomko451513981
LAug 2 · 11:30O. Volynets2510690S. Solomko341211113
O. Volynets10
LOct 5 · 07:30O. Volynets1.40121360A. Kovalenko2.751415113WOct 5 · 04:30O. Volynets1.5711411123E. Populovskyi2.254117101WSep 30 · 11:00O. Shyshman2.50119581O. Volynets1.5071111113LSep 30 · 10:00S. Solomko2.201111113O. Volynets1.613960WSep 30 · 08:30E. Populovskyi2.25111131252O. Volynets1.57861114113WSep 30 · 06:30A. Kovalenko2.637670O. Volynets1.441111113WSep 30 · 04:30O. Osadchyi1.53118111082O. Volynets2.38611912113WSep 29 · 11:35O. Lipeiko2.631111451O. Volynets1.4471311113LSep 29 · 10:35A. Kovalenko3.751111113O. Volynets1.258980WSep 29 · 09:05I. Emets2.255870O. Volynets1.571111113
S. Solomko10
LOct 5 · 08:00O. Leonenko2.20511116153S. Solomko1.61116911132WOct 5 · 05:00V. Kolesnykov1.67971111102S. Solomko2.10111145123WOct 4 · 11:50E. Populovskyi4.333870S. Solomko1.201111113LOct 4 · 10:50S. Solomko1.801295101A. Kurtenko1.91101111123WOct 4 · 09:50S. Solomko1.5711111113O. Osadchyi2.25491131WOct 4 · 08:20S. Solomko2.00111167113A. Martyniuk1.7368111152WOct 4 · 06:20S. Solomko1.731111113A. Kovalenko2.005680LOct 3 · 18:30O. Leonenko2.2015511113S. Solomko1.611311681WOct 3 · 17:30E. Populovskyi4.007940S. Solomko1.221111103WSep 30 · 10:00S. Solomko2.201111113O. Volynets1.613960
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